Travis Kelce hit rates

Updated Oct 26, 2026, 2:45 AM ET

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Travis Kelce has cleared 50+ rec yds in 5 of the last 10 games (11 of the last 20), and 2+ receptions in 9 of 10.

TE · KC · 6 games in 2026 · 17 last season

Next: @ DEN · Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET · Empower Field at Mile High

How often each line cleared over the last 5 and last 10 games.

Travis Kelce recent form and today's lines

Over the last 5 games, Travis Kelce averaged 54.4 receiving yards, 4.2 receptions and 6 targets.

Over the last 10 games, Travis Kelce averaged 46.7 receiving yards, 4 receptions and 6 targets.

Over the last 20 games, Travis Kelce averaged 53 receiving yards, 4.5 receptions and 6.3 targets.

In those last 20 games, Travis Kelce averaged 60.1 receiving yards at home (11 games) and 44.3 on the road (9 games).

In 3 games against DEN since Nov 16, 2025, Travis Kelce averaged 66 receiving yards and 5.7 receptions, and KC went 1-2.

Next game: at DEN, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET.

How often has Travis Kelce gone over 49.5 receiving yards?

Travis Kelce has gone over 49.5 receiving yards in 5 of the last 10 games, 3 of the last 5 and 11 of the last 20. Last-10 average: 46.7 receiving yards.

How often has Travis Kelce gone over 1.5 receptions?

Travis Kelce has gone over 1.5 receptions in 9 of the last 10 games, 5 of the last 5 and 18 of the last 20. Last-10 average: 4 receptions.

How often has Travis Kelce gone over 3.5 targets?

Travis Kelce has gone over 3.5 targets in 9 of the last 10 games, 4 of the last 5 and 18 of the last 20. Last-10 average: 6 targets.

How often has Travis Kelce gone over 9.5 longest reception?

Travis Kelce has gone over 9.5 longest reception in 8 of the last 10 games, 5 of the last 5 and 17 of the last 20. Last-10 average: 22 longest reception.

How often has Travis Kelce scored a touchdown?

Travis Kelce has scored a touchdown in 2 of the last 10 games, 2 of the last 5 and 6 of the last 20. Last-10 average: 0.2 anytime TD.

Past results, not a prediction. 21+.

Receiving yards

Grade C

46.7avg L1048.5median6floor101high

No line hit in 8 of the last 10 yet.

101

Line	L5	L10	Season · home/road · vs DEN · cover · + Slip
20+ rec yds	80%4/5	70%7/10	Sniper
30+ rec yds	80%4/5	70%7/10	Sniper
40+ rec yds	80%4/5	60%6/10	Sniper
50+ rec yds	60%3/5	50%5/10	Sniper
60+ rec yds	20%1/5	30%3/10	Sniper
70+ rec yds	20%1/5	30%3/10	Sniper
80+ rec yds	20%1/5	10%1/10	Sniper
100+ rec yds	20%1/5	10%1/10	Sniper

Receptions

Grade C

4avg L103.5median1floor9high

Safe line 2+ receptions · hit 9 of last 10 · 8 straight

Line	L5	L10	Season · home/road · vs DEN · cover · + Slip
2+ receptionssafe line	100%5/5	90%9/10	Sniper
3+ receptions	60%3/5	70%7/10	Sniper
4+ receptions	60%3/5	50%5/10	Sniper
5+ receptions	20%1/5	30%3/10	Sniper
6+ receptions	20%1/5	20%2/10	Sniper
7+ receptions	20%1/5	20%2/10	Sniper
8+ receptions	20%1/5	10%1/10	Sniper

Targets

Grade B

6avg L105.5median2floor11high

Safe line 4+ targets · hit 9 of last 10 · 3 straight

Line	L5	L10	Season · home/road · vs DEN · cover · + Slip
3+ targets	80%4/5	90%9/10	Sniper
4+ targetssafe line	80%4/5	90%9/10	Sniper
5+ targets	60%3/5	70%7/10	Sniper
6+ targets	40%2/5	50%5/10	Sniper
8+ targets	40%2/5	30%3/10	Sniper
10+ targets	20%1/5	10%1/10	Sniper

Longest reception

Grade D

22avg L1017.5median5floor59high

Safe line 10+ longest catch · hit 8 of last 10 · 6 straight

Line	L5	L10	Season · home/road · vs DEN · cover · + Slip
10+ longest catchsafe line	100%5/5	80%8/10	Sniper
15+ longest catch	80%4/5	60%6/10	Sniper
20+ longest catch	40%2/5	30%3/10	Sniper
25+ longest catch	20%1/5	20%2/10	Sniper
30+ longest catch	20%1/5	20%2/10	Sniper

Anytime TD

0.2avg L100median0floor1high

No line hit in 8 of the last 10 yet.

Line	L5	L10	Season · home/road · vs DEN · cover · + Slip
Anytime TD	40%2/5	20%2/10	Sniper

Game log, weather splits and this week's trends Sniper

Every game this season and last, splits by weather, home and road, and the lines with the most behind them this week. Start for $1

Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.