Rushing yards
Grade B68.4avg L1067median26floor113high
Safe line 40+ rush yds · hit 8 of last 10
Aaron Jones Sr. hit rates
Updated
+ Join free to followGet Aaron Jones Sr. on your board and a game-day email.Aaron Jones Sr. has cleared 40+ rush yds in 8 of the last 10 games (12 of the last 18), and 60+ rush + rec yds in 8 of 10.
RB · MIN · 6 games in 2026 · 12 last season
Next: @ DET · Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · Ford Field
How often each line cleared over the last 5 and last 10 games.
Aaron Jones Sr. recent form and today's lines
Over the last 5 games, Aaron Jones Sr. averaged 79.2 rushing yards, 93.6 rush + rec yards and 18.6 rush attempts.
Over the last 10 games, Aaron Jones Sr. averaged 68.4 rushing yards, 80.5 rush + rec yards and 17 rush attempts.
Over the last 18 games, Aaron Jones Sr. averaged 54.7 rushing yards, 69.7 rush + rec yards and 13.2 rush attempts.
In those last 18 games, Aaron Jones Sr. averaged 53.6 rushing yards at home (8 games) and 55.5 on the road (10 games).
In 2 games against DET since Nov 2, 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. averaged 65.5 rushing yards and 80.5 rush + rec yards, and MIN went 2-0.
Next game: at DET, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET.
How often has Aaron Jones Sr. gone over 39.5 rushing yards?
Aaron Jones Sr. has gone over 39.5 rushing yards in 8 of the last 10 games, 4 of the last 5 and 12 of the last 18. Last-10 average: 68.4 rushing yards.
How often has Aaron Jones Sr. gone over 59.5 rush + rec yards?
Aaron Jones Sr. has gone over 59.5 rush + rec yards in 8 of the last 10 games, 4 of the last 5 and 12 of the last 18. Last-10 average: 80.5 rush + rec yards.
How often has Aaron Jones Sr. gone over 11.5 rush attempts?
Aaron Jones Sr. has gone over 11.5 rush attempts in 9 of the last 10 games, 4 of the last 5 and 10 of the last 18. Last-10 average: 17 rush attempts.
How often has Aaron Jones Sr. gone over 1.5 receptions?
Aaron Jones Sr. has gone over 1.5 receptions in 6 of the last 10 games, 3 of the last 5 and 13 of the last 18. Last-10 average: 2.1 receptions.
How often has Aaron Jones Sr. gone over 9.5 receiving yards?
Aaron Jones Sr. has gone over 9.5 receiving yards in 4 of the last 10 games, 2 of the last 5 and 11 of the last 18. Last-10 average: 12.1 receiving yards.
How often has Aaron Jones Sr. gone over 9.5 longest rush?
Aaron Jones Sr. has gone over 9.5 longest rush in 9 of the last 10 games, 5 of the last 5 and 13 of the last 18. Last-10 average: 15.6 longest rush.
How often has Aaron Jones Sr. scored a touchdown?
Aaron Jones Sr. has scored a touchdown in 3 of the last 10 games, 1 of the last 5 and 5 of the last 18. Last-10 average: 0.3 anytime TD.
Past results, not a prediction. 21+.
Rush + rec yards
Grade B80.5avg L1084median26floor128high
Safe line 60+ rush + rec yds · hit 8 of last 10
| Line | L5 | L10 | Season · home/road · vs DET · cover · + Slip |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40+ rush + rec yds | 80%4/5 | 90%9/10 | Sniper |
| 50+ rush + rec yds | 80%4/5 | 80%8/10 | Sniper |
| 60+ rush + rec ydssafe line | 80%4/5 | 80%8/10 | Sniper |
| 75+ rush + rec yds | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
| 90+ rush + rec yds | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
| 100+ rush + rec yds | 60%3/5 | 30%3/10 | Sniper |
| 120+ rush + rec yds | 20%1/5 | 10%1/10 | Sniper |
Rush attempts
Grade B17avg L1017.5median8floor25high
Safe line 12+ carries · hit 9 of last 10
Receptions
Grade D2.1avg L102.5median0floor5high
No line hit in 8 of the last 10 yet.
Receiving yards
Grade D12.1avg L106median0floor34high
No line hit in 8 of the last 10 yet.
Longest rush
Grade A15.6avg L1016.5median8floor20high
Safe line 10+ longest rush · hit 9 of last 10 · 5 straight
Anytime TD
0.3avg L100median0floor1high
No line hit in 8 of the last 10 yet.
| Line | L5 | L10 | Season · home/road · vs DET · cover · + Slip |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | Sniper |
Game log, weather splits and this week's trends Sniper
Every game this season and last, splits by weather, home and road, and the lines with the most behind them this week. Start for $1
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.