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Justin Jefferson hit rates

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Justin Jefferson has cleared 30+ rec yds in 8 of the last 10 games (17 of the last 20), and 2+ receptions in 10 of 10.

WR · MIN · 5 games in 2026 · 17 last season

Next: @ DET · Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · Ford Field

How often each line cleared over the last 5 and last 10 games.

Justin Jefferson recent form and today's lines

Over the last 5 games, Justin Jefferson averaged 60.4 receiving yards, 4.6 receptions and 6.2 targets.

Over the last 10 games, Justin Jefferson averaged 55.1 receiving yards, 4.5 receptions and 6.7 targets.

Over the last 20 games, Justin Jefferson averaged 61.3 receiving yards, 5 receptions and 8 targets.

In those last 20 games, Justin Jefferson averaged 70.8 receiving yards at home (11 games) and 49.6 on the road (9 games).

In 2 games against DET since Nov 2, 2025, Justin Jefferson averaged 38.5 receiving yards and 5 receptions, and MIN went 2-0.

Next game: at DET, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET.

How often has Justin Jefferson gone over 29.5 receiving yards?

Justin Jefferson has gone over 29.5 receiving yards in 8 of the last 10 games, 5 of the last 5 and 17 of the last 20. Last-10 average: 55.1 receiving yards.

How often has Justin Jefferson gone over 1.5 receptions?

Justin Jefferson has gone over 1.5 receptions in 10 of the last 10 games, 5 of the last 5 and 20 of the last 20. Last-10 average: 4.5 receptions.

How often has Justin Jefferson gone over 4.5 targets?

Justin Jefferson has gone over 4.5 targets in 8 of the last 10 games, 4 of the last 5 and 18 of the last 20. Last-10 average: 6.7 targets.

How often has Justin Jefferson gone over 9.5 longest reception?

Justin Jefferson has gone over 9.5 longest reception in 10 of the last 10 games, 5 of the last 5 and 19 of the last 20. Last-10 average: 20.7 longest reception.

How often has Justin Jefferson scored a touchdown?

Justin Jefferson has scored a touchdown in 2 of the last 10 games, 2 of the last 5 and 3 of the last 20. Last-10 average: 0.3 anytime TD.

Past results, not a prediction. 21+.

Receiving yards

Grade C
55.1avg L1049.5median11floor101high

Safe line 30+ rec yds · hit 8 of last 10 · 8 straight

11
22
85
30
101
92
55
32
79
44
30
LineL5L10Season · home/road · vs DET · cover · + Slip
20+ rec yds100%5/590%9/10Sniper
30+ rec ydssafe line100%5/580%8/10Sniper
40+ rec yds80%4/560%6/10Sniper
50+ rec yds60%3/550%5/10Sniper
60+ rec yds40%2/540%4/10Sniper
70+ rec yds40%2/540%4/10Sniper
80+ rec yds20%1/530%3/10Sniper
100+ rec yds0%0/510%1/10Sniper

Receptions

Grade C
4.5avg L104median2floor8high

Safe line 2+ receptions · hit 10 of last 10 · 10 straight

2
2
6
4
8
8
3
2
6
4
2
LineL5L10Season · home/road · vs DET · cover · + Slip
2+ receptionssafe line100%5/5100%10/10Sniper
3+ receptions80%4/570%7/10Sniper
4+ receptions60%3/560%6/10Sniper
5+ receptions40%2/540%4/10Sniper
6+ receptions40%2/540%4/10Sniper
7+ receptions20%1/520%2/10Sniper
8+ receptions20%1/520%2/10Sniper

Targets

Grade B
6.7avg L107median2floor11high

Safe line 5+ targets · hit 8 of last 10

4
8
8
5
11
9
6
2
7
7
5
LineL5L10Season · home/road · vs DET · cover · + Slip
3+ targets80%4/590%9/10Sniper
4+ targets80%4/590%9/10Sniper
5+ targetssafe line80%4/580%8/10Sniper
6+ targets80%4/570%7/10Sniper
8+ targets20%1/540%4/10Sniper
10+ targets0%0/510%1/10Sniper

Longest reception

Grade B
20.7avg L1021median10floor39high

Safe line 10+ longest catch · hit 10 of last 10 · 10 straight

13
12
21
10
18
39
30
22
21
21
10
LineL5L10Season · home/road · vs DET · cover · + Slip
10+ longest catchsafe line100%5/5100%10/10Sniper
15+ longest catch100%5/570%7/10Sniper
20+ longest catch100%5/560%6/10Sniper
25+ longest catch40%2/520%2/10Sniper
30+ longest catch40%2/520%2/10Sniper

Anytime TD

0.3avg L100median0floor2high

No line hit in 8 of the last 10 yet.

LineL5L10Season · home/road · vs DET · cover · + Slip
Anytime TD40%2/520%2/10Sniper

Game log, weather splits and this week's trends Sniper

Every game this season and last, splits by weather, home and road, and the lines with the most behind them this week. Start for $1

Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.