Highest Hit Rates on Tue, Sep 15, 2026: NFL Player Props & Results
Published · Updated · 21+
DARIMARKET is a free sports research app that shows player prop hit rates for FanDuel and DraftKings bettors. This is the Tue, Sep 15, 2026 archive: the highest pre-game hit rates by stat and how each line finished.
Which NFL player props had the highest hit rates on Tue, Sep 15, 2026?
Going into Tue, Sep 15, 2026, the highest last-10 hit rates included Rashee Rice 30+ rec yds (8 of 8; finished with 19), Rashee Rice 4+ receptions (8 of 8; finished with 2) and Bo Nix 150+ pass yds (9 of 10; finished with 131).
Passing yards: highest hit rates on Tue, Sep 15, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo NixDEN · QB · at KC | 150+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 131 | Missed |
| Patrick MahomesKC · QB · vs DEN | 250+ pass yds | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 184 | Missed |
Rushing yards: highest hit rates on Tue, Sep 15, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.K. DobbinsDEN · RB · at KC | 60+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 36 | Missed |
| Kenneth Walker IIIKC · RB · vs DEN | 50+ rush yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 173 | Held |
| Bo NixDEN · QB · at KC | 10+ rush yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 2 | Missed |
| Patrick MahomesKC · QB · vs DEN | 10+ rush yds | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 23 | Held |
Receiving yards: highest hit rates on Tue, Sep 15, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashee RiceKC · WR · vs DEN | 30+ rec yds | 8 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 19 | Missed |
| Xavier WorthyKC · WR · vs DEN | 20+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 18 | Missed |
| Jaylen WaddleDEN · WR · at KC | 20+ rec yds | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 2 | Missed |
| Pat BryantDEN · WR · at KC | 30+ rec yds | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 42 | Held |
| Courtland SuttonDEN · WR · at KC | 20+ rec yds | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 11 | Missed |
Receptions: highest hit rates on Tue, Sep 15, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashee RiceKC · WR · vs DEN | 4+ receptions | 8 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 2 | Missed |
| Courtland SuttonDEN · WR · at KC | 3+ receptions | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 2 | Missed |
| Xavier WorthyKC · WR · vs DEN | 2+ receptions | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| J.K. DobbinsDEN · RB · at KC | 1+ receptions | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
| Kenneth Walker IIIKC · RB · vs DEN | 2+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Jaylen WaddleDEN · WR · at KC | 2+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 1 | Missed |
| RJ HarveyDEN · RB · at KC | 2+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| Pat BryantDEN · WR · at KC | 2+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 4 | Held |
Rush + rec yards: highest hit rates on Tue, Sep 15, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker IIIKC · RB · vs DEN | 50+ rush + rec yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 191 | Held |
| RJ HarveyDEN · RB · at KC | 50+ rush + rec yds | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 41 | Missed |
| J.K. DobbinsDEN · RB · at KC | 60+ rush + rec yds | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 36 | Missed |
Rush attempts: highest hit rates on Tue, Sep 15, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.K. DobbinsDEN · RB · at KC | 12+ carries | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 8 | Missed |
| Kenneth Walker IIIKC · RB · vs DEN | 10+ carries | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 23 | Held |
More NFL research for Tue, Sep 15, 2026
What does the line in each row mean?
It is the highest line the player cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games (their "safe" line). Last 10 and last 5 show how many of those games cleared it. It is a research benchmark, not a sportsbook line.
Are high hit rate props a sure thing?
No. A hit rate describes what already happened. Minutes, matchups, injuries and game script all change, so check the live line at your book and treat this as research. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.