Highest Hit Rates on Sun, Oct 18, 2026: NFL Player Props & Results
Published · Updated · 21+
DARIMARKET is a free sports research app that shows player prop hit rates for FanDuel and DraftKings bettors. This is the Sun, Oct 18, 2026 archive: the highest pre-game hit rates by stat and how each line finished.
Which NFL player props had the highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 18, 2026?
Going into Sun, Oct 18, 2026, the highest last-10 hit rates included D'Andre Swift 40+ rush yds (10 of 10; finished with 44), Drake Maye 10+ rush yds (10 of 10; finished with 24) and Davante Adams 20+ rec yds (10 of 10; finished with 39).
Passing yards: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 18, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick MahomesKC · QB · vs LAC | 175+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 272 | Held |
| Kirk CousinsLV · QB · vs BUF | 150+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 313 | Held |
| Michael Penix Jr.ATL · QB · vs CHI | 175+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 225 | Held |
| Drake MayeNE · QB · vs NYJ | 175+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 235 | Held |
| Matthew StaffordLAR · QB · vs ARI | 250+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 222 | Missed |
| Bryce YoungCAR · QB · at PHI | 175+ pass yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 281 | Held |
| Aaron RodgersPIT · QB · at TB | 175+ pass yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 253 | Held |
| Josh AllenBUF · QB · at LV | 200+ pass yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 255 | Held |
Rushing yards: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 18, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Andre SwiftCHI · RB · at ATL | 40+ rush yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 44 | Held |
| Drake MayeNE · QB · vs NYJ | 10+ rush yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 24 | Held |
| Bijan RobinsonATL · RB · vs CHI | 70+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 61 | Missed |
| Jaylen WarrenPIT · RB · at TB | 40+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 50 | Held |
| Jonathan TaylorIND · RB · vs TEN | 40+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 94 | Held |
| Bucky IrvingTB · RB · vs PIT | 40+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 46 | Held |
| Kyren WilliamsLAR · RB · vs ARI | 40+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 50 | Held |
| Tony PollardTEN · RB · at IND | 40+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 76 | Held |
Receiving yards: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 18, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davante AdamsLAR · WR · vs ARI | 20+ rec yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 39 | Held |
| Chris OlaveNO · WR · at NYG | 40+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 43 | Held |
| Drake LondonATL · WR · vs CHI | 20+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 62 | Held |
| A.J. BrownNE · WR · vs NYJ | 20+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 27 | Held |
| Luther Burden IIICHI · WR · at ATL | 30+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 95 | Held |
| Rome OdunzeCHI · WR · at ATL | 40+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 39 | Missed |
| Tre TuckerLV · WR · vs BUF | 20+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 97 | Held |
| Xavier HutchinsonHOU · WR · vs JAX | 20+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 10 | Missed |
Receptions: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 18, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka NacuaLAR · WR · vs ARI | 5+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 6 | Held |
| Luther Burden IIICHI · WR · at ATL | 3+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 8 | Held |
| Nico CollinsHOU · WR · vs JAX | 3+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Kyren WilliamsLAR · RB · vs ARI | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Rome OdunzeCHI · WR · at ATL | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Chuba HubbardCAR · RB · at PHI | 1+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 1 | Held |
| Chris OlaveNO · WR · at NYG | 4+ receptions | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| Brock BowersLV · TE · vs BUF | 4+ receptions | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 4 | Held |
Passing TDs: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 18, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby BrissettARI · QB · at LAR | 1+ pass TDs | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
| Kirk CousinsLV · QB · vs BUF | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 2 | Held |
| Bryce YoungCAR · QB · at PHI | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 2 | Held |
| Justin HerbertLAC · QB · at KC | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
| Geno SmithNYJ · QB · at NE | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 1 | Held |
| C.J. StroudHOU · QB · vs JAX | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Trevor LawrenceJAX · QB · vs HOU | 1+ pass TDs | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| Caleb WilliamsCHI · QB · at ATL | 2+ pass TDs | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 1 | Missed |
Rush + rec yards: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 18, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick HenryBAL · RB · at CLE | 75+ rush + rec yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 60 | Missed |
| Jonathan TaylorIND · RB · vs TEN | 60+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 151 | Held |
| D'Andre SwiftCHI · RB · at ATL | 60+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 70 | Held |
| Tony PollardTEN · RB · at IND | 50+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 76 | Held |
| Jaylen WarrenPIT · RB · at TB | 60+ rush + rec yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 78 | Held |
| James Cook IIIBUF · RB · at LV | 60+ rush + rec yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 153 | Held |
| Ashton JeantyLV · RB · vs BUF | 60+ rush + rec yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 58 | Missed |
| Bijan RobinsonATL · RB · vs CHI | 90+ rush + rec yds | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 53 | Missed |
Rush attempts: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 18, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan RobinsonATL · RB · vs CHI | 15+ carries | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 9 | Missed |
| Jonathan TaylorIND · RB · vs TEN | 15+ carries | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 21 | Held |
| Kenneth Walker IIIKC · RB · vs LAC | 15+ carries | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 19 | Held |
| Ashton JeantyLV · RB · vs BUF | 10+ carries | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 10 | Held |
| James Cook IIIBUF · RB · at LV | 12+ carries | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 22 | Held |
| Cam SkatteboNYG · RB · vs NO | 12+ carries | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
| Tony PollardTEN · RB · at IND | 12+ carries | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 19 | Held |
| Derrick HenryBAL · RB · at CLE | 18+ carries | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 17 | Missed |
More NFL research for Sun, Oct 18, 2026
What does the line in each row mean?
It is the highest line the player cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games (their "safe" line). Last 10 and last 5 show how many of those games cleared it. It is a research benchmark, not a sportsbook line.
Are high hit rate props a sure thing?
No. A hit rate describes what already happened. Minutes, matchups, injuries and game script all change, so check the live line at your book and treat this as research. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.