Highest Hit Rates on Fri, Oct 23, 2026: NFL Player Props & Results
Published · Updated · 21+
DARIMARKET is a free sports research app that shows player prop hit rates for FanDuel and DraftKings bettors. This is the Fri, Oct 23, 2026 archive: the highest pre-game hit rates by stat and how each line finished.
Which NFL player props had the highest hit rates on Fri, Oct 23, 2026?
Going into Fri, Oct 23, 2026, the highest last-10 hit rates included D'Andre Swift 40+ rush yds (10 of 10; finished with 78), Drake Maye 10+ rush yds (10 of 10; finished with 26) and A.J. Brown 20+ rec yds (10 of 10; finished with 48).
Passing yards: highest hit rates on Fri, Oct 23, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake MayeNE · QB · at CHI | 175+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 321 | Held |
| Caleb WilliamsCHI · QB · vs NE | 200+ pass yds | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 308 | Held |
Rushing yards: highest hit rates on Fri, Oct 23, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Andre SwiftCHI · RB · vs NE | 40+ rush yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 78 | Held |
| Drake MayeNE · QB · at CHI | 10+ rush yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 26 | Held |
| Rhamondre StevensonNE · RB · at CHI | 30+ rush yds | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 22 | Missed |
| Caleb WilliamsCHI · QB · vs NE | 10+ rush yds | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 18 | Held |
Receiving yards: highest hit rates on Fri, Oct 23, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. BrownNE · WR · at CHI | 20+ rec yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 48 | Held |
| Luther Burden IIICHI · WR · vs NE | 30+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 130 | Held |
| Rome OdunzeCHI · WR · vs NE | 40+ rec yds | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 69 | Held |
Receptions: highest hit rates on Fri, Oct 23, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luther Burden IIICHI · WR · vs NE | 3+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| Rome OdunzeCHI · WR · vs NE | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| A.J. BrownNE · WR · at CHI | 3+ receptions | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| D'Andre SwiftCHI · RB · vs NE | 1+ receptions | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| Kalif RaymondCHI · WR · vs NE | 2+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
| Colston LovelandCHI · TE · vs NE | 2+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 7 | Held |
| Hunter HenryNE · TE · at CHI | 2+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 7 | Held |
| Rhamondre StevensonNE · RB · at CHI | 1+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 5 | Held |
Rush + rec yards: highest hit rates on Fri, Oct 23, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Andre SwiftCHI · RB · vs NE | 60+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 90 | Held |
| Rhamondre StevensonNE · RB · at CHI | 40+ rush + rec yds | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 115 | Held |
Rush attempts: highest hit rates on Fri, Oct 23, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Andre SwiftCHI · RB · vs NE | 10+ carries | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 22 | Held |
Passing TDs: highest hit rates on Fri, Oct 23, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb WilliamsCHI · QB · vs NE | 2+ pass TDs | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 2 | Held |
More NFL research for Fri, Oct 23, 2026
What does the line in each row mean?
It is the highest line the player cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games (their "safe" line). Last 10 and last 5 show how many of those games cleared it. It is a research benchmark, not a sportsbook line.
Are high hit rate props a sure thing?
No. A hit rate describes what already happened. Minutes, matchups, injuries and game script all change, so check the live line at your book and treat this as research. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.