No. 15 Tennessee (4-1) visits Arkansas (2-3) for a 4:15 PM ET kickoff, with the Vols listed at -13.5 on the main spread. Both free plays come from the same idea: Tennessee controls this game on the ground and in pass coverage.
KJ Jackson under 1.5 passing TDs leads off. Jackson averages 154 passing yards against Power 4 teams and threw for 111 at Texas A&M, and Tennessee allows 162.6 passing yards a game, third-best in the SEC. Tennessee -6.5 on the alt spread follows: the Vols rank 4th in EPA per rush, Arkansas's run defense ranks 128th, and the alt takes 7 points off the main number. The top-rated play for this game and every other play are on the full board.
He averages 154 passing yards against Power 4 teams and threw for 111 at Texas A&M. Tennessee allows 162.6 passing yards a game, third-best in the SEC.
The matchup is Tennessee's 4th-ranked rushing attack (EPA per rush) against Arkansas's 128th-ranked run defense. KJ Jackson averages 154 passing yards against Power 5 teams, so Arkansas is unlikely to keep pace. Taking 7 points off the main spread covers the QB uncertainty.
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