Colts vs Commanders Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 4)
Published · Updated · NFL
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Indianapolis Colts 30, Washington Commanders 13 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Colts vs Commanders?
Final on Oct 4, 2026: Colts 30, Commanders 13. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Jonathan Taylor (50+ rush yds: 95), Josh Downs (2+ receptions: 3), Tyler Warren (3+ receptions: 5), Stefon Diggs (30+ rec yds: 35), Stefon Diggs (3+ receptions: 5), Chig Okonkwo (2+ receptions: 2). Fell short: Daniel Jones (175+ pass yds: 143), Jonathan Taylor (2+ receptions: 1), Josh Downs (20+ rec yds: 16).
Game script
Colts beat Commanders 30-13, a 17-point margin.
Indianapolis Colts player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel JonesQB | 175+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 221 | 8 of 10 | 143 | Missed |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 50+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 70.4 | 8 of 10 | 95 | Held |
| Jonathan Taylor | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.5 | 9 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
| Josh DownsWR | 20+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 43.6 | 8 of 10 | 16 | Missed |
| Josh Downs | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.6 | 10 of 10 | 3 | Held |
| Tyler WarrenTE | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.4 | 9 of 10 | 5 | Held |
Washington Commanders player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefon DiggsWR | 30+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 52.7 | 8 of 10 | 35 | Held |
| Stefon Diggs | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.5 | 9 of 10 | 5 | Held |
| Chig OkonkwoTE | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.1 | 10 of 10 | 2 | Held |
Player by player
Daniel Jones finished with 143 passing yards, 32 short of 175+ pass yds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Daniel Jones's last 10 showed 175+ pass yds in 8 of 10.
Jonathan Taylor finished with 95 rushing yards, clearing 50+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Jonathan Taylor finished with 1 receptions, 1 short of 2+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Jonathan Taylor's last 10 showed 50+ rush yds in 8 of 10, 2+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Josh Downs finished with 16 receiving yards, 4 short of 20+ rec yds. That hit rate missed this time. Josh Downs finished with 3 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Josh Downs's last 10 showed 20+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 2+ receptions in 10 of 10.
Tyler Warren finished with 5 receptions, clearing 3+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Tyler Warren's last 10 showed 3+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Stefon Diggs finished with 35 receiving yards, clearing 30+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Stefon Diggs finished with 5 receptions, clearing 3+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Stefon Diggs's last 10 showed 30+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 3+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Chig Okonkwo finished with 2 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Chig Okonkwo's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 10 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Colts vs Commanders on Oct 4, 2026?
Indianapolis Colts 30, Washington Commanders 13 (Final). Colts beat Commanders 30-13, a 17-point margin.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More NFL player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.