Steelers vs Patriots Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Sep 20)
Published · Updated · NFL
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 3, New England Patriots 20 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Steelers vs Patriots?
Final on Sep 20, 2026: Steelers 3, Patriots 20. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Jaylen Warren (30+ rush yds: 43), Jaylen Warren (1+ receptions: 2), DK Metcalf (3+ receptions: 4), Rico Dowdle (2+ receptions: 2), Drake Maye (175+ pass yds: 208), Rhamondre Stevenson (40+ rush yds: 43). Fell short: DK Metcalf (30+ rec yds: 27), Darnell Washington (2+ receptions: 1), Drake Maye (20+ rush yds: 17), Rhamondre Stevenson (2+ receptions: 1), Mack Hollins (30+ rec yds: 18).
Game script
Patriots beat Steelers 20-3, a 17-point margin.
Pittsburgh Steelers player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen WarrenRB | 30+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 57.3 | 9 of 10 | 43 | Held |
| Jaylen Warren | 1+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.3 | 8 of 10 | 2 | Held |
| DK MetcalfWR | 30+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 47.1 | 8 of 10 | 27 | Missed |
| DK Metcalf | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.8 | 8 of 10 | 4 | Held |
| Rico DowdleRB | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.7 | 8 of 10 | 2 | Held |
| Darnell WashingtonTE | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.4 | 8 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
New England Patriots player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake MayeQB | 175+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 227 | 8 of 10 | 208 | Held |
| Drake Maye | 20+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 36.8 | 8 of 10 | 17 | Missed |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 40+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 58.7 | 9 of 10 | 43 | Held |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.2 | 9 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
| Mack HollinsWR | 30+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 52.2 | 8 of 10 | 18 | Missed |
| Mack Hollins | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.8 | 10 of 10 | 2 | Held |
| Hunter HenryTE | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.1 | 8 of 10 | 3 | Held |
Player by player
Jaylen Warren finished with 43 rushing yards, clearing 30+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Jaylen Warren finished with 2 receptions, clearing 1+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jaylen Warren's last 10 showed 30+ rush yds in 9 of 10, 1+ receptions in 8 of 10.
DK Metcalf finished with 27 receiving yards, 3 short of 30+ rec yds. That hit rate missed this time. DK Metcalf finished with 4 receptions, clearing 3+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, DK Metcalf's last 10 showed 30+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 3+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Rico Dowdle finished with 2 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Rico Dowdle's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Darnell Washington finished with 1 receptions, 1 short of 2+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Darnell Washington's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Drake Maye finished with 208 passing yards, clearing 175+ pass yds. That hit rate held. Drake Maye finished with 17 rushing yards, 3 short of 20+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Drake Maye's last 10 showed 175+ pass yds in 8 of 10, 20+ rush yds in 8 of 10.
Rhamondre Stevenson finished with 43 rushing yards, clearing 40+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Rhamondre Stevenson finished with 1 receptions, 1 short of 2+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Rhamondre Stevenson's last 10 showed 40+ rush yds in 9 of 10, 2+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Mack Hollins finished with 18 receiving yards, 12 short of 30+ rec yds. That hit rate missed this time. Mack Hollins finished with 2 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Mack Hollins's last 10 showed 30+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 2+ receptions in 10 of 10.
Hunter Henry finished with 3 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Hunter Henry's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 8 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Steelers vs Patriots on Sep 20, 2026?
Pittsburgh Steelers 3, New England Patriots 20 (Final). Patriots beat Steelers 20-3, a 17-point margin.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More NFL player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.