Capitals vs Lightning Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 3)
Published · Updated · NHL
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Washington Capitals 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Capitals vs Lightning?
Final on Oct 3, 2026: Capitals 1, Lightning 3. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Tom Wilson (1+ shots: 2), Ryan Leonard (2+ shots: 3), Jakob Chychrun (1+ shots: 2), Jake Guentzel (2+ shots: 2), Nikita Kucherov (1+ shots: 3), Brandon Hagel (3+ shots: 6). Fell short: Tom Wilson (1+ points: 0), Ryan Leonard (1+ points: 0), Jordan Kyrou (2+ shots: 1).
Game script
Lightning beat Capitals 3-1, a 2-goal margin.
Washington Capitals player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom WilsonRW | 1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 1.7 | 8 of 10 | 2 | Held |
| Tom Wilson | 1+ pointsPoints, last-10 avg 1.1 | 8 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
| Ryan LeonardRW | 2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.8 | 10 of 10 | 3 | Held |
| Ryan Leonard | 1+ pointsPoints, last-10 avg 1 | 8 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
| Jakob ChychrunD | 1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 1.6 | 8 of 10 | 2 | Held |
| Jordan KyrouRW | 2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.2 | 8 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
Tampa Bay Lightning player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake GuentzelC | 2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.7 | 8 of 10 | 2 | Held |
| Nikita KucherovRW | 1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 3.6 | 10 of 10 | 3 | Held |
| Brandon HagelLW | 3+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 3.2 | 8 of 10 | 6 | Held |
| Brayden PointC | 1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 1.6 | 9 of 10 | 3 | Held |
Player by player
Tom Wilson finished with 2 shots on goal, clearing 1+ shots. That hit rate held. Tom Wilson finished with 0 points, 1 short of 1+ points. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Tom Wilson's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 8 of 10, 1+ points in 8 of 10.
Ryan Leonard finished with 3 shots on goal, clearing 2+ shots. That hit rate held. Ryan Leonard finished with 0 points, 1 short of 1+ points. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Ryan Leonard's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 10 of 10, 1+ points in 8 of 10.
Jakob Chychrun finished with 2 shots on goal, clearing 1+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jakob Chychrun's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 8 of 10.
Jordan Kyrou finished with 1 shots on goal, 1 short of 2+ shots. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Jordan Kyrou's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 8 of 10.
Jake Guentzel finished with 2 shots on goal, clearing 2+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jake Guentzel's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 8 of 10.
Nikita Kucherov finished with 3 shots on goal, clearing 1+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Nikita Kucherov's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 10 of 10.
Brandon Hagel finished with 6 shots on goal, clearing 3+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Brandon Hagel's last 10 showed 3+ shots in 8 of 10.
Brayden Point finished with 3 shots on goal, clearing 1+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Brayden Point's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 9 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Capitals vs Lightning on Oct 3, 2026?
Washington Capitals 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (Final). Lightning beat Capitals 3-1, a 2-goal margin.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More NHL player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.