Islanders vs Maple Leafs Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Sep 30)
Published · Updated · NHL
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: New York Islanders 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Islanders vs Maple Leafs?
Final on Sep 30, 2026: Islanders 1, Maple Leafs 2. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Brayden Schenn (1+ shots: 1), Matthew Schaefer (3+ shots: 3), Bo Horvat (2+ shots: 4), John Tavares (1+ shots: 1), Kirill Marchenko (1+ shots: 3). Fell short: William Nylander (2+ shots: 1), Auston Matthews (2+ shots: 1).
Game script
Maple Leafs beat Islanders 2-1, a 1-goal margin. A one-goal game, played tight to the end.
New York Islanders player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden SchennC | 1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 1.6 | 8 of 10 | 1 | Held |
| Matthew SchaeferD | 3+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 3.5 | 8 of 10 | 3 | Held |
| Bo HorvatC | 2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.7 | 9 of 10 | 4 | Held |
Toronto Maple Leafs player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William NylanderRW | 2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 3.3 | 8 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
| John TavaresC | 1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 1.9 | 9 of 10 | 1 | Held |
| Kirill MarchenkoRW | 1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.7 | 9 of 10 | 3 | Held |
| Auston MatthewsC | 2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 3.7 | 10 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
Player by player
Brayden Schenn finished with 1 shots on goal, clearing 1+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Brayden Schenn's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 8 of 10.
Matthew Schaefer finished with 3 shots on goal, clearing 3+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Matthew Schaefer's last 10 showed 3+ shots in 8 of 10.
Bo Horvat finished with 4 shots on goal, clearing 2+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Bo Horvat's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 9 of 10.
William Nylander finished with 1 shots on goal, 1 short of 2+ shots. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, William Nylander's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 8 of 10.
John Tavares finished with 1 shots on goal, clearing 1+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, John Tavares's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 9 of 10.
Kirill Marchenko finished with 3 shots on goal, clearing 1+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Kirill Marchenko's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 9 of 10.
Auston Matthews finished with 1 shots on goal, 1 short of 2+ shots. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Auston Matthews's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 10 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Islanders vs Maple Leafs on Sep 30, 2026?
New York Islanders 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (Final). Maple Leafs beat Islanders 2-1, a 1-goal margin. A one-goal game, played tight to the end.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More NHL player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.