Lightning vs Rangers Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 1)
Published · Updated · NHL
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Rangers 5 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Lightning vs Rangers?
Final on Oct 1, 2026: Lightning 1, Rangers 5. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Jake Guentzel (2+ shots: 3), Brandon Hagel (3+ shots: 3), John Carlson (2+ shots: 4), Mika Zibanejad (1+ shots: 3), J.T. Miller (1+ shots: 1), Alexis Lafreniere (1+ shots: 3). Fell short: Nikita Kucherov (2+ shots: 1), Adam Fox (1+ shots: 0).
Game script
Rangers beat Lightning 5-1, a 4-goal margin. A lopsided score; trailing teams tend to pile up shots late while the leader sits back.
Tampa Bay Lightning player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake GuentzelC | 2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.8 | 8 of 10 | 3 | Held |
| Brandon HagelLW | 3+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 3.4 | 8 of 10 | 3 | Held |
| Nikita KucherovRW | 2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 3.7 | 8 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
| John CarlsonD | 2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.5 | 9 of 10 | 4 | Held |
New York Rangers player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam FoxD | 1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 1.6 | 8 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
| Mika ZibanejadC | 1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 1.8 | 9 of 10 | 3 | Held |
| J.T. MillerLW | 1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 1.7 | 9 of 10 | 1 | Held |
| Alexis LafreniereLW | 1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 1.6 | 9 of 10 | 3 | Held |
Player by player
Jake Guentzel finished with 3 shots on goal, clearing 2+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jake Guentzel's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 8 of 10.
Brandon Hagel finished with 3 shots on goal, clearing 3+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Brandon Hagel's last 10 showed 3+ shots in 8 of 10.
Nikita Kucherov finished with 1 shots on goal, 1 short of 2+ shots. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Nikita Kucherov's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 8 of 10.
John Carlson finished with 4 shots on goal, clearing 2+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, John Carlson's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 9 of 10.
Adam Fox finished with 0 shots on goal, 1 short of 1+ shots. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Adam Fox's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 8 of 10.
Mika Zibanejad finished with 3 shots on goal, clearing 1+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Mika Zibanejad's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 9 of 10.
J.T. Miller finished with 1 shots on goal, clearing 1+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, J.T. Miller's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 9 of 10.
Alexis Lafreniere finished with 3 shots on goal, clearing 1+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Alexis Lafreniere's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 9 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Lightning vs Rangers on Oct 1, 2026?
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Rangers 5 (Final). Rangers beat Lightning 5-1, a 4-goal margin. A lopsided score; trailing teams tend to pile up shots late while the leader sits back.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More NHL player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.