Maple Leafs vs Flames Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 26)
Published · Updated · NHL
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Calgary Flames 5 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Maple Leafs vs Flames?
Final on Oct 26, 2026: Maple Leafs 2, Flames 5. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Auston Matthews (1+ points: 1), William Nylander (1+ shots: 4), Joel Farabee (1+ shots: 2), Matt Coronato (1+ shots: 2), Morgan Frost (1+ shots: 2), Matvei Gridin (1+ shots: 5). Fell short: Auston Matthews (2+ shots: 1), Kirill Marchenko (2+ shots: 1), Kirill Marchenko (1+ points: 0), Jack Roslovic (2+ shots: 1).
Game script
Flames beat Maple Leafs 5-2, a 3-goal margin.
Toronto Maple Leafs player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auston MatthewsC | 2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.9 | 8 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
| Auston Matthews | 1+ pointsPoints, last-10 avg 1.8 | 8 of 10 | 1 | Held |
| William NylanderRW | 1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.9 | 10 of 10 | 4 | Held |
| Kirill MarchenkoRW | 2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.5 | 8 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
| Kirill Marchenko | 1+ pointsPoints, last-10 avg 1.2 | 9 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
| Jack RoslovicC | 2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 3 | 8 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
Calgary Flames player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel FarabeeLW | 1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.4 | 10 of 10 | 2 | Held |
| Matt CoronatoRW | 1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.4 | 9 of 10 | 2 | Held |
| Morgan FrostC | 1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.1 | 9 of 10 | 2 | Held |
| Matvei GridinRW | 1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2 | 8 of 10 | 5 | Held |
Player by player
Auston Matthews finished with 1 shots on goal, 1 short of 2+ shots. That hit rate missed this time. Auston Matthews finished with 1 points, clearing 1+ points. That hit rate held. Before this game, Auston Matthews's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 8 of 10, 1+ points in 8 of 10.
William Nylander finished with 4 shots on goal, clearing 1+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, William Nylander's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 10 of 10.
Kirill Marchenko finished with 1 shots on goal, 1 short of 2+ shots. That hit rate missed this time. Kirill Marchenko finished with 0 points, 1 short of 1+ points. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Kirill Marchenko's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 8 of 10, 1+ points in 9 of 10.
Jack Roslovic finished with 1 shots on goal, 1 short of 2+ shots. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Jack Roslovic's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 8 of 10.
Joel Farabee finished with 2 shots on goal, clearing 1+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Joel Farabee's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 10 of 10.
Matt Coronato finished with 2 shots on goal, clearing 1+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Matt Coronato's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 9 of 10.
Morgan Frost finished with 2 shots on goal, clearing 1+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Morgan Frost's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 9 of 10.
Matvei Gridin finished with 5 shots on goal, clearing 1+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Matvei Gridin's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 8 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Maple Leafs vs Flames on Oct 26, 2026?
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Calgary Flames 5 (Final). Flames beat Maple Leafs 5-2, a 3-goal margin.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More NHL player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.