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Penguins vs Avalanche Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 16)

Published · Updated · NHL

This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.

Final: Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Colorado Avalanche 5 (Final).

Who cleared their player props in Penguins vs Avalanche?

Final on Oct 16, 2026: Penguins 2, Avalanche 5. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Sidney Crosby (2+ shots: 2), Erik Karlsson (1+ shots: 2), Samuel Girard (1+ shots: 2), Evgeni Malkin (1+ shots: 2), Nathan MacKinnon (2+ shots: 9), Nazem Kadri (2+ shots: 4). Fell short: Martin Necas (2+ shots: 1).

Game script

Avalanche beat Penguins 5-2, a 3-goal margin.

Pittsburgh Penguins player prop results

PlayerLine (last 10 before)Pre-gameActualResult
Sidney CrosbyC2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.78 of 102Held
Erik KarlssonD1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 1.88 of 102Held
Samuel GirardD1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 1.28 of 102Held
Evgeni MalkinC1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 1.98 of 102Held

Colorado Avalanche player prop results

PlayerLine (last 10 before)Pre-gameActualResult
Nathan MacKinnonC2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 3.78 of 109Held
Martin NecasC2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.18 of 101Missed
Nazem KadriC2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.59 of 104Held
Cale MakarD2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.58 of 102Held

Player by player

Sidney Crosby finished with 2 shots on goal, clearing 2+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Sidney Crosby's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 8 of 10.

Erik Karlsson finished with 2 shots on goal, clearing 1+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Erik Karlsson's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 8 of 10.

Samuel Girard finished with 2 shots on goal, clearing 1+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Samuel Girard's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 8 of 10.

Evgeni Malkin finished with 2 shots on goal, clearing 1+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Evgeni Malkin's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 8 of 10.

Nathan MacKinnon finished with 9 shots on goal, clearing 2+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Nathan MacKinnon's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 8 of 10.

Martin Necas finished with 1 shots on goal, 1 short of 2+ shots. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Martin Necas's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 8 of 10.

Nazem Kadri finished with 4 shots on goal, clearing 2+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Nazem Kadri's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 9 of 10.

Cale Makar finished with 2 shots on goal, clearing 2+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Cale Makar's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 8 of 10.

What's next

What was the final score of Penguins vs Avalanche on Oct 16, 2026?

Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Colorado Avalanche 5 (Final). Avalanche beat Penguins 5-2, a 3-goal margin.

What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?

For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.

More NHL player prop results

Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.

Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.