Sabres vs Maple Leafs Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 15)
Published · Updated · NHL
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Buffalo Sabres 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (Final/OT).
Who cleared their player props in Sabres vs Maple Leafs?
Final on Oct 15, 2026: Sabres 5, Maple Leafs 4 (OT). Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Tage Thompson (3+ shots: 6), Jack Quinn (2+ shots: 4), Mattias Samuelsson (1+ shots: 3), William Nylander (2+ shots: 5), Kirill Marchenko (2+ shots: 3). Fell short: Noah Ostlund (2+ shots: 1), William Nylander (1+ points: 0), Auston Matthews (2+ shots: 1), John Tavares (1+ shots: 0).
Game script
Sabres beat Maple Leafs 5-4 in overtime, a 1-goal margin. A one-goal game, played tight to the end.
Buffalo Sabres player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tage ThompsonC | 3+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 4.5 | 8 of 10 | 6 | Held |
| Jack QuinnRW | 2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.6 | 8 of 10 | 4 | Held |
| Mattias SamuelssonD | 1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 1.6 | 9 of 10 | 3 | Held |
| Noah OstlundC | 2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.2 | 8 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
Toronto Maple Leafs player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William NylanderRW | 2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 3.3 | 8 of 10 | 5 | Held |
| William Nylander | 1+ pointsPoints, last-10 avg 1.8 | 8 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
| Auston MatthewsC | 2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 3.5 | 9 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
| Kirill MarchenkoRW | 2+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.8 | 9 of 10 | 3 | Held |
| John TavaresC | 1+ shotsShots on goal, last-10 avg 2.2 | 8 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
Player by player
Tage Thompson finished with 6 shots on goal, clearing 3+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Tage Thompson's last 10 showed 3+ shots in 8 of 10.
Jack Quinn finished with 4 shots on goal, clearing 2+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jack Quinn's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 8 of 10.
Mattias Samuelsson finished with 3 shots on goal, clearing 1+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Mattias Samuelsson's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 9 of 10.
Noah Ostlund finished with 1 shots on goal, 1 short of 2+ shots. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Noah Ostlund's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 8 of 10.
William Nylander finished with 5 shots on goal, clearing 2+ shots. That hit rate held. William Nylander finished with 0 points, 1 short of 1+ points. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, William Nylander's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 8 of 10, 1+ points in 8 of 10.
Auston Matthews finished with 1 shots on goal, 1 short of 2+ shots. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Auston Matthews's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 9 of 10.
Kirill Marchenko finished with 3 shots on goal, clearing 2+ shots. That hit rate held. Before this game, Kirill Marchenko's last 10 showed 2+ shots in 9 of 10.
John Tavares finished with 0 shots on goal, 1 short of 1+ shots. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, John Tavares's last 10 showed 1+ shots in 8 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Sabres vs Maple Leafs on Oct 15, 2026?
Buffalo Sabres 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (Final/OT). Sabres beat Maple Leafs 5-4 in overtime, a 1-goal margin. A one-goal game, played tight to the end.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More NHL player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.