Highest Hit Rates on Sat, Oct 17, 2026: College Football Player Props & Results
Published · Updated · 21+
DARIMARKET is a free sports research app that shows player prop hit rates for FanDuel and DraftKings bettors. This is the Sat, Oct 17, 2026 archive: the highest pre-game hit rates by stat and how each line finished.
Which College Football player props had the highest hit rates on Sat, Oct 17, 2026?
Going into Sat, Oct 17, 2026, the highest last-10 hit rates included Cale Hellums 40+ rush yds (10 of 10; finished with 195), Lee Beebe Jr. 30+ rush yds (9 of 9; finished with 24) and Adjatay Dabbs 30+ rec yds (10 of 10; finished with 66).
Passing yards: highest hit rates on Sat, Oct 17, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden CraigTCU · QB · at BAY | 175+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 294 | Held |
| Julian SayinOSU · QB · at IU | 225+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 235 | Held |
| John MateerOU · QB · vs UK | 150+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 270 | Held |
| Arch ManningTEX · QB · vs FLA | 175+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 173 | Missed |
| Baylor HayesTLSA · QB · at RICE | 150+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 249 | Held |
| Braden AtkinsonORST · QB · vs WSU | 300+ pass yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 347 | Held |
| Darian MensahMIA · QB · vs FSU | 200+ pass yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 326 | Held |
| Avery JohnsonKSU · QB · vs KU | 175+ pass yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 209 | Held |
Rushing yards: highest hit rates on Sat, Oct 17, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cale HellumsARMY · QB · vs FAU | 40+ rush yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 195 | Held |
| Lee Beebe Jr.IU · RB · vs OSU | 30+ rush yds | 9 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 24 | Missed |
| Caleb HawkinsOKST · RB · at HOU | 70+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 68 | Missed |
| Jamal RobertsMIZ · RB · at MISS | 40+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 39 | Missed |
| CJ MillerTOL · RB · at EMU | 30+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 48 | Held |
| Avery JohnsonKSU · QB · vs KU | 20+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 132 | Held |
| JC French IVCIN · QB · at WVU | 10+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 52 | Held |
| Baylor HayesTLSA · QB · at RICE | 10+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Missed |
Receiving yards: highest hit rates on Sat, Oct 17, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adjatay DabbsTOL · WR · at EMU | 30+ rec yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 66 | Held |
| Chase SowellPSU · WR · at MICH | 30+ rec yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 151 | Held |
| Wayne HarrisKENT · WR · at USF | 20+ rec yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 28 | Held |
| Charlie BeckerIU · WR · vs OSU | 50+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 165 | Held |
| Gavin FreemanBAY · WR · vs TCU | 40+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 76 | Held |
| JJ BuchananMICH · WR · vs PSU | 40+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 36 | Missed |
| Lawayne McCoyLOU · WR · at SYR | 40+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 93 | Held |
| Donovan OlugbodeMIZ · WR · at MISS | 30+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 127 | Held |
Receptions: highest hit rates on Sat, Oct 17, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omarion MillerASU · WR · at TTU | 3+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| Nick MarshIU · WR · vs OSU | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Patrick OvermyerHOU · TE · vs OKST | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 5 | Held |
| Ryan WingoTEX · WR · vs FLA | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 5 | Held |
| Duce RobinsonFSU · WR · at MIA | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 5 | Held |
| Trent WalkerHOU · WR · vs OKST | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 7 | Held |
| JJ BuchananMICH · WR · vs PSU | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Nate SheppardDUKE · RB · vs UNC | 1+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 11 | Held |
Rush + rec yards: highest hit rates on Sat, Oct 17, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy PayneTCU · RB · at BAY | 60+ rush + rec yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | -3 | Missed |
| Jamal RobertsMIZ · RB · at MISS | 40+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 60 | Held |
| Bo JacksonOSU · RB · at IU | 60+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 58 | Missed |
| D.J. CrowtherUSF · RB · vs KENT | 40+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 46 | Held |
| Jeffrey Overton Jr.VT · RB · vs GT | 50+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 114 | Held |
| Jaquari LewisAPP · RB · at CCU | 40+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 107 | Held |
| Isaac BrownLOU · RB · at SYR | 60+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 71 | Held |
| Rodney Fields Jr.KSU · RB · vs KU | 50+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 81 | Held |
Rush attempts: highest hit rates on Sat, Oct 17, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadan BaughFLA · RB · at TEX | 12+ carries | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 25 | Held |
| Jeremy PayneTCU · RB · at BAY | 8+ carries | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 1 | Missed |
| Jai'Den ThomasUNLV · RB · at AFA | 10+ carries | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 17 | Held |
| CJ MillerTOL · RB · at EMU | 8+ carries | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 13 | Held |
| Jamal RobertsMIZ · RB · at MISS | 10+ carries | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 20 | Held |
| Micah FordSTAN · RB · vs ELON | 10+ carries | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 19 | Held |
| Bo JacksonOSU · RB · at IU | 10+ carries | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 18 | Held |
| Kendrick RaphaelSMU · RB · vs UVA | 12+ carries | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 22 | Held |
Passing TDs: highest hit rates on Sat, Oct 17, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darian MensahMIA · QB · vs FSU | 1+ pass TDs | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Julian SayinOSU · QB · at IU | 1+ pass TDs | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 2 | Held |
| Trinidad ChamblissMISS · QB · vs MIZ | 1+ pass TDs | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Ethan GrunkemeyerVT · QB · vs GT | 1+ pass TDs | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Sam LeavittLSU · QB · vs MSST | 1+ pass TDs | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| Braden AtkinsonORST · QB · vs WSU | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Josh HooverIU · QB · vs OSU | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 1 | Held |
| Kevin JenningsSMU · QB · vs UVA | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 2 | Held |
Anytime TD (rushing): highest hit rates on Sat, Oct 17, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan ChilesNU · QB · at MSU | Anytime TD | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 1 | Held |
| Byrum BrownAUB · QB · at UGA | Anytime TD | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 1 | Held |
| Michael Hawkins Jr.WVU · QB · vs CIN | Anytime TD | 7 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 2 | Held |
| Lunch WinfieldUL · QB · vs TROY | Anytime TD | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
| Cale HellumsARMY · QB · vs FAU | Anytime TD | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 5 | Held |
Anytime TD: highest hit rates on Sat, Oct 17, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadan BaughFLA · RB · at TEX | Anytime TD | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 1 | Held |
| DeSean BishopTENN · RB · vs ALA | Anytime TD | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 2 | Held |
| Nate SheppardDUKE · RB · vs UNC | Anytime TD | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 1 | Held |
| Wayne KnightUCLA · RB · vs WIS | Anytime TD | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 1 | Held |
| Kendrick RaphaelSMU · RB · vs UVA | Anytime TD | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
| Malachi ToneyMIA · WR · vs FSU | Anytime TD | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 2 | Held |
| Cam CookWVU · RB · vs CIN | Anytime TD | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 1 | Held |
| Caleb KomolafeNU · RB · at MSU | Anytime TD | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 1 | Held |
More College Football research for Sat, Oct 17, 2026
What does the line in each row mean?
It is the highest line the player cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games (their "safe" line). Last 10 and last 5 show how many of those games cleared it. It is a research benchmark, not a sportsbook line.
Are high hit rate props a sure thing?
No. A hit rate describes what already happened. Minutes, matchups, injuries and game script all change, so check the live line at your book and treat this as research. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.