MLB player prop hit rates
How often each player cleared his line over the last 5 and last 10 games.
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Which MLB players hit their earned runs props most often?
As of Oct 28, 2026: Aaron Ashby (MIL) cleared 1 or fewer earned runs in 6 of the last 6 games; Ian Seymour (TB) cleared 3 or fewer earned runs in 9 of the last 10 games; Freddy Peralta (TB) cleared 1 or fewer earned runs in 9 of the last 10 games. The table ranks every MLB player with a game coming up by last-10 hit rate at the line closest to their median. Hit rates show what already happened, not what will.
9 MLB players with a game coming up · line = closest to each player's median · sorted by last 10
| Player | Line | L5 | L10 | Splits · cover · + Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aaron AshbyRP · MIL @ TB · Tonight 8:00 PM | 1 or fewer earned runs | 100%5/5 | 100%6/6 | Sniper |
 Ian SeymourSP · TB vs MIL · Tonight 8:00 PM | 3 or fewer earned runs | 80%4/5 | 90%9/10 | Sniper |
 Freddy PeraltaSP · TB vs MIL · Tonight 8:00 PM | 1 or fewer earned runs | 80%4/5 | 90%9/10 | Sniper |
 Dustin MaySP · MIL @ TB · Tonight 8:00 PM | 2 or fewer earned runs | 80%4/5 | 80%8/10 | Sniper |
 Jacob MisiorowskiSP · MIL @ TB · Tonight 8:00 PM | 1 or fewer earned runs | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | Sniper |
 Griffin JaxSP · TB vs MIL · Tonight 8:00 PM | 1 or fewer earned runs | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | Sniper |
 Drew RasmussenSP · TB vs MIL · Tonight 8:00 PM | 1 or fewer earned runs | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | Sniper |
 Shane DrohanSP · MIL @ TB · Tonight 8:00 PM | 3 or fewer earned runs | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
 Kyle HarrisonSP · MIL @ TB · Tonight 8:00 PM | 2 or fewer earned runs | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
Tap a player for every stat and every alt line, last 5 and last 10. Sniper members get stacked filters, splits, trends and one-tap slips.
Hit rates describe what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Lines shown are each player's median rung, not a book price; check your book before you place anything. 21+.