NFL player prop hit rates
How often each player cleared his line over the last 5 and last 10 games.
This week's NFL games and best posted FanDuel and DraftKings lines →
Which NFL players hit their passing yards props most often?
As of Oct 28, 2026: Patrick Mahomes (KC) cleared 225+ pass yds in 6 of the last 10 games; Jared Goff (DET) cleared 300+ pass yds in 6 of the last 10 games; Matthew Stafford (LAR) cleared 300+ pass yds in 6 of the last 10 games. The table ranks every NFL player with a game coming up by last-10 hit rate at the line closest to their median. Hit rates show what already happened, not what will.
37 NFL players with a game coming up · line = closest to each player's median · sorted by last 10
| Player | Line | L5 | L10 | Splits · cover · + Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Patrick MahomesQB · KC @ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM | 225+ pass yds | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
 Jared GoffQB · DET vs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM | 300+ pass yds | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
 Matthew StaffordQB · LAR vs LAC · Sun 4:05 PM | 300+ pass yds | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
 Jordan LoveQB · GB vs CAR · Tomorrow 8:15 PM | 275+ pass yds | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
 Geno SmithQB · NYJ vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM | 200+ pass yds | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
 Bo NixQB · DEN vs KC · Sun 4:25 PM | 175+ pass yds | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
 Jalen HurtsQB · PHI @ WSH · Sun 8:20 PM | 175+ pass yds | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
 Cam WardQB · TEN @ CIN · Sun 1:00 PM | 175+ pass yds | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
 Josh AllenQB · BUF vs BAL · Sun 1:00 PM | 250+ pass yds | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
 Justin HerbertQB · LAC @ LAR · Sun 4:05 PM | 200+ pass yds | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
 Deshaun WatsonQB · CLE @ PIT · Sun 1:00 PM | 200+ pass yds | 40%2/5 | 57%4/7 | Sniper |
 Bryce YoungQB · CAR @ GB · Tomorrow 8:15 PM | 275+ pass yds | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Drake MayeQB · NE @ MIA · Sun 4:25 PM | 225+ pass yds | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Aaron RodgersQB · PIT vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM | 225+ pass yds | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Joe BurrowQB · CIN vs TEN · Sun 1:00 PM | 275+ pass yds | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Dak PrescottQB · DAL vs ARI · Sun 1:00 PM | 275+ pass yds | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Jacoby BrissettQB · ARI @ DAL · Sun 1:00 PM | 225+ pass yds | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Michael Penix Jr.QB · ATL @ TB · Sun 1:00 PM | 225+ pass yds | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Sam DarnoldQB · SEA vs CHI · Mon 8:15 PM | 200+ pass yds | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Baker MayfieldQB · TB vs ATL · Sun 1:00 PM | 200+ pass yds | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Daniel JonesQB · IND @ JAX · Sun 1:00 PM | 200+ pass yds | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Malik WillisQB · MIA vs NE · Sun 4:25 PM | 175+ pass yds | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Tanner McKeeQB · PHI @ WSH · Sun 8:20 PM | 150+ pass yds | 60%3/5 | 50%3/6 | Sniper |
 Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX vs IND · Sun 1:00 PM | 250+ pass yds | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Jayden DanielsQB · WSH vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM | 175+ pass yds | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Kyler MurrayQB · MIN @ DET · Sun 1:00 PM | 175+ pass yds | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Marcus MariotaQB · WSH vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM | 150+ pass yds | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Carson WentzQB · MIN @ DET · Sun 1:00 PM | 150+ pass yds | 20%1/5 | 50%4/8 | Sniper |
 Kirk CousinsQB · LV @ NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM | 250+ pass yds | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | Sniper |
 Lamar JacksonQB · BAL @ BUF · Sun 1:00 PM | 225+ pass yds | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | Sniper |
 Tyler HuntleyQB · BAL @ BUF · Sun 1:00 PM | 150+ pass yds | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | Sniper |
 Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI @ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM | 275+ pass yds | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | Sniper |
 Jalon DanielsQB · TB vs ATL · Sun 1:00 PM | 150+ pass yds | 40%2/5 | 40%2/5 | Sniper |
 Case KeenumQB · CHI @ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM | 150+ pass yds | 33%1/3 | 33%1/3 | Sniper |
 Drew LockQB · SEA vs CHI · Mon 8:15 PM | 150+ pass yds | 40%2/5 | 20%2/10 | Sniper |
 Cooper RushQB · ATL @ TB · Sun 1:00 PM | 150+ pass yds | 20%1/5 | 17%1/6 | Sniper |
 Tyson BagentQB · CHI @ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM | 150+ pass yds | 20%1/5 | 14%1/7 | Sniper |
Tap a player for every stat and every alt line, last 5 and last 10. Sniper members get stacked filters, splits, trends and one-tap slips.
Hit rates describe what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Lines shown are each player's median rung, not a book price; check your book before you place anything. 21+.