Highest Hit Rates on Fri, Sep 11, 2026: NFL Player Props & Results
Published · Updated · 21+
DARIMARKET is a free sports research app that shows player prop hit rates for FanDuel and DraftKings bettors. This is the Fri, Sep 11, 2026 archive: the highest pre-game hit rates by stat and how each line finished.
Which NFL player props had the highest hit rates on Fri, Sep 11, 2026?
Going into Fri, Sep 11, 2026, the highest last-10 hit rates included Matthew Stafford 250+ pass yds (9 of 10; finished with 155), Christian McCaffrey 30+ rush yds (9 of 10; finished with 68) and Davante Adams 20+ rec yds (9 of 10; finished with 26).
Passing yards: highest hit rates on Fri, Sep 11, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew StaffordLAR · QB · vs SF | 250+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 155 | Missed |
| Brock PurdySF · QB · vs LAR | 150+ pass yds | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 205 | Held |
Rushing yards: highest hit rates on Fri, Sep 11, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffreySF · RB · vs LAR | 30+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 68 | Held |
| Brock PurdySF · QB · vs LAR | 10+ rush yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 29 | Held |
| Kyren WilliamsLAR · RB · vs SF | 50+ rush yds | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 41 | Missed |
Receiving yards: highest hit rates on Fri, Sep 11, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davante AdamsLAR · WR · vs SF | 20+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 26 | Held |
| Deebo Samuel Sr.SF · WR · vs LAR | 20+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 48 | Held |
| Christian McCaffreySF · RB · vs LAR | 20+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 20 | Held |
| Mike EvansSF · WR · vs LAR | 30+ rec yds | 7 of 8 | 4 of 5 | 49 | Held |
| Colby ParkinsonLAR · TE · vs SF | 30+ rec yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 6 | Missed |
| Kyren WilliamsLAR · RB · vs SF | 10+ rec yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 24 | Held |
| Puka NacuaLAR · WR · vs SF | 70+ rec yds | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 74 | Held |
| George KittleSF · TE · vs LAR | 30+ rec yds | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 12 | Missed |
Receptions: highest hit rates on Fri, Sep 11, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffreySF · RB · vs LAR | 4+ receptions | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 5 | Held |
| Kyren WilliamsLAR · RB · vs SF | 1+ receptions | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| George KittleSF · TE · vs LAR | 4+ receptions | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 2 | Missed |
| Mike EvansSF · WR · vs LAR | 2+ receptions | 7 of 8 | 4 of 5 | 6 | Held |
| Davante AdamsLAR · WR · vs SF | 4+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 3 | Missed |
| Colby ParkinsonLAR · TE · vs SF | 3+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 1 | Missed |
| Puka NacuaLAR · WR · vs SF | 6+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 5 | Missed |
| Deebo Samuel Sr.SF · WR · vs LAR | 3+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 6 | Held |
Passing TDs: highest hit rates on Fri, Sep 11, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew StaffordLAR · QB · vs SF | 2+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
| Brock PurdySF · QB · vs LAR | 1+ pass TDs | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 3 | Held |
Rush + rec yards: highest hit rates on Fri, Sep 11, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyren WilliamsLAR · RB · vs SF | 60+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 65 | Held |
| Christian McCaffreySF · RB · vs LAR | 60+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 88 | Held |
Rush attempts: highest hit rates on Fri, Sep 11, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyren WilliamsLAR · RB · vs SF | 12+ carries | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 11 | Missed |
| Christian McCaffreySF · RB · vs LAR | 12+ carries | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 10 | Missed |
More NFL research for Fri, Sep 11, 2026
What does the line in each row mean?
It is the highest line the player cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games (their "safe" line). Last 10 and last 5 show how many of those games cleared it. It is a research benchmark, not a sportsbook line.
Are high hit rate props a sure thing?
No. A hit rate describes what already happened. Minutes, matchups, injuries and game script all change, so check the live line at your book and treat this as research. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.