Best Player Props on Fri, Sep 11, 2026: NFL Hit Rates & Results
Published · Updated · 21+
DARIMARKET is a free sports research app that shows player prop hit rates for FanDuel and DraftKings bettors. This page is the Fri, Sep 11, 2026 archive: the best pre-game last-10 hit rates for NFL players that day, and how each line finished.
What were the best NFL player props on Fri, Sep 11, 2026?
Going into Fri, Sep 11, 2026, the highest last-10 hit rates among NFL players belonged to Matthew Stafford 250+ pass yds (9 of 10 before, finished with 155), Davante Adams 20+ rec yds (9 of 10 before, finished with 26) and Deebo Samuel Sr. 20+ rec yds (9 of 10 before, finished with 48). Cleared: Davante Adams, Deebo Samuel Sr., Christian McCaffrey, Mike Evans.
NFL: best pre-game hit rates on Fri, Sep 11, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew StaffordLAR · QB · vs SF | 250+ pass ydsPassing yards, avg 308.6 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 155 | Missed |
| Davante AdamsLAR · WR · vs SF | 20+ rec ydsReceiving yards, avg 54.3 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 26 | Held |
| Deebo Samuel Sr.SF · WR · vs LAR | 20+ rec ydsReceiving yards, avg 41.2 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 48 | Held |
| Christian McCaffreySF · RB · vs LAR | 4+ receptionsReceptions, avg 5.2 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 5 | Held |
| Kyren WilliamsLAR · RB · vs SF | 12+ carriesRush attempts, avg 14.5 | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 11 | Missed |
| George KittleSF · TE · vs LAR | 4+ receptionsReceptions, avg 5.4 | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 2 | Missed |
| Mike EvansSF · WR · vs LAR | 30+ rec ydsReceiving yards, avg 46 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 5 | 49 | Held |
| Colby ParkinsonLAR · TE · vs SF | 3+ receptionsReceptions, avg 3.6 | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 1 | Missed |
| Brock PurdySF · QB · vs LAR | 150+ pass ydsPassing yards, avg 229.2 | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 205 | Held |
| Puka NacuaLAR · WR · vs SF | 6+ receptionsReceptions, avg 8 | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 5 | Missed |
More NFL research for Fri, Sep 11, 2026
Where do these numbers come from?
Each player's last 10 games before that day, from the same game logs as DARIMARKET's free hit rates, compared with the final box score. They don't change after the fact.
Last 10 counts each player's last 10 games on file before that day. Actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.