Highest Hit Rates on Mon, Sep 28, 2026: NFL Player Props & Results
Published · Updated · 21+
DARIMARKET is a free sports research app that shows player prop hit rates for FanDuel and DraftKings bettors. This is the Mon, Sep 28, 2026 archive: the highest pre-game hit rates by stat and how each line finished.
Which NFL player props had the highest hit rates on Mon, Sep 28, 2026?
Going into Mon, Sep 28, 2026, the highest last-10 hit rates included Kyren Williams 10+ rec yds (10 of 10; finished with 70), Matthew Stafford 250+ pass yds (9 of 10; finished with 390) and Bo Nix 5+ rush yds (9 of 10; finished with 7).
Passing yards: highest hit rates on Mon, Sep 28, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew StaffordLAR · QB · at DEN | 250+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 390 | Held |
| Bo NixDEN · QB · vs LAR | 175+ pass yds | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 186 | Held |
Rushing yards: highest hit rates on Mon, Sep 28, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo NixDEN · QB · vs LAR | 5+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 7 | Held |
| Blake CorumLAR · RB · at DEN | 40+ rush yds | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 15 | Missed |
| J.K. DobbinsDEN · RB · vs LAR | 40+ rush yds | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 49 | Held |
| Kyren WilliamsLAR · RB · at DEN | 50+ rush yds | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 88 | Held |
Receiving yards: highest hit rates on Mon, Sep 28, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyren WilliamsLAR · RB · at DEN | 10+ rec yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 70 | Held |
| Davante AdamsLAR · WR · at DEN | 20+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 137 | Held |
| RJ HarveyDEN · RB · vs LAR | 20+ rec yds | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 41 | Held |
| Jaylen WaddleDEN · WR · vs LAR | 20+ rec yds | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 10 | Missed |
| Colby ParkinsonLAR · TE · at DEN | 20+ rec yds | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
| Pat BryantDEN · WR · vs LAR | 30+ rec yds | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 44 | Held |
Receptions: highest hit rates on Mon, Sep 28, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyren WilliamsLAR · RB · at DEN | 2+ receptions | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 6 | Held |
| Colby ParkinsonLAR · TE · at DEN | 2+ receptions | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
| Davante AdamsLAR · WR · at DEN | 3+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 7 | Held |
| RJ HarveyDEN · RB · vs LAR | 3+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 6 | Held |
| Courtland SuttonDEN · WR · vs LAR | 3+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Jaylen WaddleDEN · WR · vs LAR | 2+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 2 | Held |
Passing TDs: highest hit rates on Mon, Sep 28, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew StaffordLAR · QB · at DEN | 2+ pass TDs | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 2 | Held |
Rush + rec yards: highest hit rates on Mon, Sep 28, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake CorumLAR · RB · at DEN | 50+ rush + rec yds | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 15 | Missed |
| Kyren WilliamsLAR · RB · at DEN | 75+ rush + rec yds | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 158 | Held |
| J.K. DobbinsDEN · RB · vs LAR | 40+ rush + rec yds | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 53 | Held |
| RJ HarveyDEN · RB · vs LAR | 50+ rush + rec yds | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 47 | Missed |
Rush attempts: highest hit rates on Mon, Sep 28, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.K. DobbinsDEN · RB · vs LAR | 10+ carries | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 17 | Held |
| Blake CorumLAR · RB · at DEN | 8+ carries | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 6 | Missed |
| Kyren WilliamsLAR · RB · at DEN | 12+ carries | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 15 | Held |
More NFL research for Mon, Sep 28, 2026
What does the line in each row mean?
It is the highest line the player cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games (their "safe" line). Last 10 and last 5 show how many of those games cleared it. It is a research benchmark, not a sportsbook line.
Are high hit rate props a sure thing?
No. A hit rate describes what already happened. Minutes, matchups, injuries and game script all change, so check the live line at your book and treat this as research. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.