Highest Hit Rates on Sun, Sep 27, 2026: NFL Player Props & Results
Published · Updated · 21+
DARIMARKET is a free sports research app that shows player prop hit rates for FanDuel and DraftKings bettors. This is the Sun, Sep 27, 2026 archive: the highest pre-game hit rates by stat and how each line finished.
Which NFL player props had the highest hit rates on Sun, Sep 27, 2026?
Going into Sun, Sep 27, 2026, the highest last-10 hit rates included Derrick Henry 60+ rush yds (10 of 10; finished with 89), Juwan Johnson 30+ rec yds (10 of 10; finished with 53) and Deebo Samuel Sr. 20+ rec yds (10 of 10; finished with 80).
Passing yards: highest hit rates on Sun, Sep 27, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler ShoughNO · QB · vs LV | 225+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 255 | Held |
| Patrick MahomesKC · QB · at MIA | 175+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 246 | Held |
| Jacoby BrissettARI · QB · at SF | 200+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 280 | Held |
| Bryce YoungCAR · QB · at CLE | 150+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 291 | Held |
| Lamar JacksonBAL · QB · vs DAL | 150+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 186 | Held |
| Joe BurrowCIN · QB · at PIT | 200+ pass yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 282 | Held |
| Justin HerbertLAC · QB · at BUF | 150+ pass yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 226 | Held |
| C.J. StroudHOU · QB · at IND | 200+ pass yds | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 167 | Missed |
Rushing yards: highest hit rates on Sun, Sep 27, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick HenryBAL · RB · vs DAL | 60+ rush yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 89 | Held |
| Chase BrownCIN · RB · at PIT | 50+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 61 | Held |
| Ashton JeantyLV · RB · at NO | 30+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 56 | Held |
| Jaylen WarrenPIT · RB · vs CIN | 30+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 127 | Held |
| Baker MayfieldTB · QB · vs MIN | 10+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 6 | Missed |
| Brock PurdySF · QB · vs ARI | 10+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 34 | Held |
| Tyler ShoughNO · QB · vs LV | 5+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 36 | Held |
| De'Von AchaneMIA · RB · vs KC | 60+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 17 | Missed |
Receiving yards: highest hit rates on Sun, Sep 27, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan JohnsonNO · TE · vs LV | 30+ rec yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 53 | Held |
| Deebo Samuel Sr.SF · WR · vs ARI | 20+ rec yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 80 | Held |
| Jameson WilliamsDET · WR · vs NYJ | 30+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 49 | Held |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET · RB · vs NYJ | 20+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 65 | Held |
| Mike EvansSF · WR · vs ARI | 30+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 34 | Held |
| Brian Thomas Jr.JAX · WR · vs NE | 20+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 8 | Missed |
| Tre TuckerLV · WR · at NO | 20+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 43 | Held |
| Cooper KuppSEA · WR · at WSH | 20+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 46 | Held |
Receptions: highest hit rates on Sun, Sep 27, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam LaPortaDET · TE · vs NYJ | 3+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Justin JeffersonMIN · WR · at TB | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 2 | Held |
| Cade OttonTB · TE · vs MIN | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Harold Fannin Jr.CLE · TE · vs CAR | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 7 | Held |
| Mack HollinsNE · WR · at JAX | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 6 | Held |
| Travis Etienne Jr.NO · RB · vs LV | 1+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 2 | Held |
| Brian Thomas Jr.JAX · WR · vs NE | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 1 | Missed |
| Rachaad WhiteWSH · RB · vs SEA | 1+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 1 | Held |
Passing TDs: highest hit rates on Sun, Sep 27, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared GoffDET · QB · vs NYJ | 1+ pass TDs | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 2 | Held |
| Jacoby BrissettARI · QB · at SF | 1+ pass TDs | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 2 | Held |
| Joe BurrowCIN · QB · at PIT | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Bryce YoungCAR · QB · at CLE | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 1 | Held |
| Daniel JonesIND · QB · vs HOU | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 1 | Held |
| Baker MayfieldTB · QB · vs MIN | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 1 | Held |
| Kirk CousinsLV · QB · at NO | 1+ pass TDs | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Tyler ShoughNO · QB · vs LV | 1+ pass TDs | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 4 | Held |
Rush + rec yards: highest hit rates on Sun, Sep 27, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen WarrenPIT · RB · vs CIN | 40+ rush + rec yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 176 | Held |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET · RB · vs NYJ | 60+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 164 | Held |
| Chase BrownCIN · RB · at PIT | 75+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 69 | Missed |
| De'Von AchaneMIA · RB · vs KC | 90+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 17 | Missed |
| Jonathan TaylorIND · RB · vs HOU | 60+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 72 | Held |
| Christian McCaffreySF · RB · vs ARI | 60+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 116 | Held |
| Rhamondre StevensonNE · RB · at JAX | 60+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 38 | Missed |
| Bucky IrvingTB · RB · vs MIN | 60+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 58 | Missed |
Rush attempts: highest hit rates on Sun, Sep 27, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breece HallNYJ · RB · at DET | 12+ carries | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 13 | Held |
| Chase BrownCIN · RB · at PIT | 12+ carries | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 13 | Held |
| Kenneth Walker IIIKC · RB · at MIA | 10+ carries | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 18 | Held |
| Woody MarksHOU · RB · at IND | 8+ carries | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 5 | Missed |
| Aaron Jones Sr.MIN · RB · at TB | 8+ carries | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 17 | Held |
| Jaylen WarrenPIT · RB · vs CIN | 10+ carries | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 17 | Held |
| Jonathan TaylorIND · RB · vs HOU | 15+ carries | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 23 | Held |
| Christian McCaffreySF · RB · vs ARI | 10+ carries | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 15 | Held |
More NFL research for Sun, Sep 27, 2026
What does the line in each row mean?
It is the highest line the player cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games (their "safe" line). Last 10 and last 5 show how many of those games cleared it. It is a research benchmark, not a sportsbook line.
Are high hit rate props a sure thing?
No. A hit rate describes what already happened. Minutes, matchups, injuries and game script all change, so check the live line at your book and treat this as research. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.