Highest Hit Rates on Fri, Oct 16, 2026: NFL Player Props & Results
Published · Updated · 21+
DARIMARKET is a free sports research app that shows player prop hit rates for FanDuel and DraftKings bettors. This is the Fri, Oct 16, 2026 archive: the highest pre-game hit rates by stat and how each line finished.
Which NFL player props had the highest hit rates on Fri, Oct 16, 2026?
Going into Fri, Oct 16, 2026, the highest last-10 hit rates included Bo Nix 5+ rush yds (9 of 10; finished with 2), Bo Nix 1+ pass TDs (9 of 10; finished with 0) and J.K. Dobbins 10+ carries (9 of 10; finished with 17).
Rushing yards: highest hit rates on Fri, Oct 16, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo NixDEN · QB · vs SEA | 5+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 2 | Missed |
| J.K. DobbinsDEN · RB · vs SEA | 40+ rush yds | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 41 | Held |
Receiving yards: highest hit rates on Fri, Oct 16, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · WR · at DEN | 70+ rec yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 134 | Held |
Receptions: highest hit rates on Fri, Oct 16, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · WR · at DEN | 5+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 12 | Held |
| RJ HarveyDEN · RB · vs SEA | 1+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Jaylen WaddleDEN · WR · vs SEA | 2+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| Marvin Mims Jr.DEN · WR · vs SEA | 2+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 2 | Held |
| Cooper KuppSEA · WR · at DEN | 2+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 5 | Held |
| Courtland SuttonDEN · WR · vs SEA | 2+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 2 | Held |
Passing TDs: highest hit rates on Fri, Oct 16, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo NixDEN · QB · vs SEA | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
| Sam DarnoldSEA · QB · at DEN | 1+ pass TDs | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
Rush + rec yards: highest hit rates on Fri, Oct 16, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ HarveyDEN · RB · vs SEA | 40+ rush + rec yds | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 56 | Held |
| J.K. DobbinsDEN · RB · vs SEA | 40+ rush + rec yds | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 46 | Held |
Rush attempts: highest hit rates on Fri, Oct 16, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.K. DobbinsDEN · RB · vs SEA | 10+ carries | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 17 | Held |
More NFL research for Fri, Oct 16, 2026
What does the line in each row mean?
It is the highest line the player cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games (their "safe" line). Last 10 and last 5 show how many of those games cleared it. It is a research benchmark, not a sportsbook line.
Are high hit rate props a sure thing?
No. A hit rate describes what already happened. Minutes, matchups, injuries and game script all change, so check the live line at your book and treat this as research. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.