Best Player Props on Fri, Oct 16, 2026: NFL Hit Rates & Results
Published · Updated · 21+
DARIMARKET is a free sports research app that shows player prop hit rates for FanDuel and DraftKings bettors. This page is the Fri, Oct 16, 2026 archive: the best pre-game last-10 hit rates for NFL players that day, and how each line finished.
What were the best NFL player props on Fri, Oct 16, 2026?
Going into Fri, Oct 16, 2026, the highest last-10 hit rates among NFL players belonged to Bo Nix 1+ pass TDs (9 of 10 before, finished with 0), J.K. Dobbins 10+ carries (9 of 10 before, finished with 17) and Jaxon Smith-Njigba 70+ rec yds (8 of 10 before, finished with 134). Cleared: J.K. Dobbins, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, RJ Harvey, Jaylen Waddle.
NFL: best pre-game hit rates on Fri, Oct 16, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo NixDEN · QB · vs SEA | 1+ pass TDsPassing TDs, avg 1.5 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
| J.K. DobbinsDEN · RB · vs SEA | 10+ carriesRush attempts, avg 14 | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 17 | Held |
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · WR · at DEN | 70+ rec ydsReceiving yards, avg 93.8 | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 134 | Held |
| RJ HarveyDEN · RB · vs SEA | 40+ rush + rec ydsRush + rec yards, avg 60.8 | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 56 | Held |
| Jaylen WaddleDEN · WR · vs SEA | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 3.3 | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| Marvin Mims Jr.DEN · WR · vs SEA | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 3 | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 2 | Held |
| Cooper KuppSEA · WR · at DEN | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 2.9 | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 5 | Held |
| Courtland SuttonDEN · WR · vs SEA | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 2.9 | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 2 | Held |
| Sam DarnoldSEA · QB · at DEN | 1+ pass TDsPassing TDs, avg 1.5 | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
More NFL research for Fri, Oct 16, 2026
Where do these numbers come from?
Each player's last 10 games before that day, from the same game logs as DARIMARKET's free hit rates, compared with the final box score. They don't change after the fact.
Last 10 counts each player's last 10 games on file before that day. Actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.