Baylor vs UCF Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 30)
Published · Updated · College Football
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Baylor Bears 41, UCF Knights 9 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Baylor vs UCF?
Final on Oct 30, 2026: Baylor 41, UCF 9. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: DJ Lagway (150+ pass yds: 319), Gavin Freeman (40+ rec yds: 114), Josh Derry (40+ rec yds: 70), Josh Derry (2+ receptions: 3). Fell short: Gavin Freeman (6+ receptions: 5), Duke Watson (30+ rush yds: 20).
Game script
Baylor beat UCF 41-9, a 32-point margin. A blowout game script: the trailing team usually throws more late, while the leader runs the ball and rests starters.
Baylor Bears player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ LagwayQB | 150+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 210.3 | 8 of 10 | 319 | Held |
| Gavin FreemanWR | 40+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 80.1 | 9 of 10 | 114 | Held |
| Gavin Freeman | 6+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 7.5 | 8 of 10 | 5 | Missed |
UCF Knights player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke WatsonRB | 30+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 67.1 | 8 of 10 | 20 | Missed |
| Josh DerryWR | 40+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 60.6 | 8 of 10 | 70 | Held |
| Josh Derry | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 5.1 | 10 of 10 | 3 | Held |
Player by player
DJ Lagway finished with 319 passing yards, clearing 150+ pass yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, DJ Lagway's last 10 showed 150+ pass yds in 8 of 10.
Gavin Freeman finished with 114 receiving yards, clearing 40+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Gavin Freeman finished with 5 receptions, 1 short of 6+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Gavin Freeman's last 10 showed 40+ rec yds in 9 of 10, 6+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Duke Watson finished with 20 rushing yards, 10 short of 30+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Duke Watson's last 10 showed 30+ rush yds in 8 of 10.
Josh Derry finished with 70 receiving yards, clearing 40+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Josh Derry finished with 3 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Josh Derry's last 10 showed 40+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 2+ receptions in 10 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Baylor vs UCF on Oct 30, 2026?
Baylor Bears 41, UCF Knights 9 (Final). Baylor beat UCF 41-9, a 32-point margin. A blowout game script: the trailing team usually throws more late, while the leader runs the ball and rests starters.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More College Football player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.