California vs SMU Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 24)
Published · Updated · College Football
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: California Golden Bears 20, SMU Mustangs 59 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in California vs SMU?
Final on Oct 24, 2026: California 20, SMU 59. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (175+ pass yds: 265), Ian Strong (40+ rec yds: 71), Ian Strong (3+ receptions: 5), Chase Hendricks (30+ rec yds: 83), Chase Hendricks (4+ receptions: 7), Kendrick Raphael (40+ rush yds: 104). Fell short: Kevin Jennings (250+ pass yds: 223), Yamir Knight (40+ rec yds: 25), Yamir Knight (4+ receptions: 3).
Game script
SMU beat California 59-20, a 39-point margin. A blowout game script: the trailing team usually throws more late, while the leader runs the ball and rests starters.
California Golden Bears player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron-Keawe SagapoluteleQB | 175+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 254.9 | 8 of 10 | 265 | Held |
| Ian StrongWR | 40+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 61.5 | 8 of 10 | 71 | Held |
| Ian Strong | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.3 | 9 of 10 | 5 | Held |
| Chase HendricksWR | 30+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 60.7 | 9 of 10 | 83 | Held |
| Chase Hendricks | 4+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 5.8 | 9 of 10 | 7 | Held |
SMU Mustangs player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin JenningsQB | 250+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 299.6 | 8 of 10 | 223 | Missed |
| Kendrick RaphaelRB | 40+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 86.8 | 9 of 10 | 104 | Held |
| Kendrick Raphael | 1+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.6 | 9 of 10 | 1 | Held |
| Yamir KnightWR | 40+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 75.7 | 8 of 10 | 25 | Missed |
| Yamir Knight | 4+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 5.9 | 8 of 10 | 3 | Missed |
Player by player
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele finished with 265 passing yards, clearing 175+ pass yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele's last 10 showed 175+ pass yds in 8 of 10.
Ian Strong finished with 71 receiving yards, clearing 40+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Ian Strong finished with 5 receptions, clearing 3+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Ian Strong's last 10 showed 40+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 3+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Chase Hendricks finished with 83 receiving yards, clearing 30+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Chase Hendricks finished with 7 receptions, clearing 4+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Chase Hendricks's last 10 showed 30+ rec yds in 9 of 10, 4+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Kevin Jennings finished with 223 passing yards, 27 short of 250+ pass yds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Kevin Jennings's last 10 showed 250+ pass yds in 8 of 10.
Kendrick Raphael finished with 104 rushing yards, clearing 40+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Kendrick Raphael finished with 1 receptions, clearing 1+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Kendrick Raphael's last 10 showed 40+ rush yds in 9 of 10, 1+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Yamir Knight finished with 25 receiving yards, 15 short of 40+ rec yds. That hit rate missed this time. Yamir Knight finished with 3 receptions, 1 short of 4+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Yamir Knight's last 10 showed 40+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 4+ receptions in 8 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of California vs SMU on Oct 24, 2026?
California Golden Bears 20, SMU Mustangs 59 (Final). SMU beat California 59-20, a 39-point margin. A blowout game script: the trailing team usually throws more late, while the leader runs the ball and rests starters.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More College Football player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.