New Mexico vs San José State Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 31)
Published · Updated · College Football
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: New Mexico Lobos 21, San José State Spartans 16 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in New Mexico vs San José State?
Final on Oct 31, 2026: New Mexico 21, San José State 16. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Jabari Bates (30+ rush yds: 63), Carson Clark (40+ rec yds: 91), Carson Clark (5+ receptions: 8). Fell short: Luke Weaver (225+ pass yds: 190).
Game script
New Mexico beat San José State 21-16, a 5-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
San José State Spartans player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke WeaverQB | 225+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 218.2 | 8 of 10 | 190 | Missed |
| Jabari BatesRB | 30+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 77.8 | 9 of 10 | 63 | Held |
| Carson ClarkWR | 40+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 68.9 | 7 of 8 | 91 | Held |
| Carson Clark | 5+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 5.9 | 8 of 8 | 8 | Held |
Player by player
Luke Weaver finished with 190 passing yards, 35 short of 225+ pass yds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Luke Weaver's last 10 showed 225+ pass yds in 8 of 10.
Jabari Bates finished with 63 rushing yards, clearing 30+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jabari Bates's last 10 showed 30+ rush yds in 9 of 10.
Carson Clark finished with 91 receiving yards, clearing 40+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Carson Clark finished with 8 receptions, clearing 5+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Carson Clark's last 10 showed 40+ rec yds in 7 of 8, 5+ receptions in 8 of 8.
What's next
What was the final score of New Mexico vs San José State on Oct 31, 2026?
New Mexico Lobos 21, San José State Spartans 16 (Final). New Mexico beat San José State 21-16, a 5-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More College Football player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.