Pacers vs Heat Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 30)
Published · Updated · NBA
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Indiana Pacers 125, Miami Heat 145 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Pacers vs Heat?
Final on Oct 30, 2026: Pacers 125, Heat 145. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Pascal Siakam (2+ assists: 4), Andrew Nembhard (12+ points: 22), Andrew Nembhard (6+ assists: 9), Andrew Nembhard (1+ threes: 5), Aaron Nesmith (1+ threes: 1), Giannis Antetokounmpo (20+ points: 31). Fell short: Pascal Siakam (20+ points: 13), Pascal Siakam (6+ rebounds: 5), Pascal Siakam (1+ threes: 0), Aaron Nesmith (12+ points: 9), Bobby Portis (10+ points: 8), Bobby Portis (6+ rebounds: 3).
Game script
Heat beat Pacers 145-125, a 20-point margin. That is a blowout game script: in games decided by 20 or more, starters often sit for much of the fourth quarter, which caps counting stats.
Indiana Pacers player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal SiakamF · 29 min | 20+ pointsPoints, last-10 avg 23.6 | 9 of 10 | 13 | Missed |
| Pascal Siakam | 6+ reboundsRebounds, last-10 avg 7.8 | 8 of 10 | 5 | Missed |
| Pascal Siakam | 2+ assistsAssists, last-10 avg 3.6 | 8 of 10 | 4 | Held |
| Pascal Siakam | 1+ threesThrees made, last-10 avg 1.5 | 8 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
| Andrew NembhardG · 30 min | 12+ pointsPoints, last-10 avg 15.4 | 9 of 10 | 22 | Held |
| Andrew Nembhard | 6+ assistsAssists, last-10 avg 9.8 | 8 of 10 | 9 | Held |
| Andrew Nembhard | 1+ threesThrees made, last-10 avg 1.5 | 8 of 10 | 5 | Held |
| Aaron NesmithG · 21 min | 12+ pointsPoints, last-10 avg 14.6 | 8 of 10 | 9 | Missed |
| Aaron Nesmith | 1+ threesThrees made, last-10 avg 2.6 | 10 of 10 | 1 | Held |
Miami Heat player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis AntetokounmpoF · 31 min | 20+ pointsPoints, last-10 avg 27.3 | 9 of 10 | 31 | Held |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 6+ reboundsRebounds, last-10 avg 9.6 | 9 of 10 | 18 | Held |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 3+ assistsAssists, last-10 avg 4.9 | 9 of 10 | 10 | Held |
| Davion MitchellG · 35 min | 10+ pointsPoints, last-10 avg 15.8 | 9 of 10 | 15 | Held |
| Davion Mitchell | 5+ assistsAssists, last-10 avg 6.8 | 8 of 10 | 11 | Held |
| Davion Mitchell | 1+ threesThrees made, last-10 avg 1.8 | 8 of 10 | 3 | Held |
| Bam AdebayoC · 33 min | 6+ reboundsRebounds, last-10 avg 8.2 | 9 of 10 | 9 | Held |
| Bam Adebayo | 3+ assistsAssists, last-10 avg 4 | 9 of 10 | 3 | Held |
| Bobby PortisF · 17 min | 10+ pointsPoints, last-10 avg 13.6 | 9 of 10 | 8 | Missed |
| Bobby Portis | 6+ reboundsRebounds, last-10 avg 7.8 | 9 of 10 | 3 | Missed |
| Bobby Portis | 1+ threesThrees made, last-10 avg 2.3 | 9 of 10 | 2 | Held |
| Pelle LarssonG · 24 min | 2+ assistsAssists, last-10 avg 3.7 | 8 of 10 | 3 | Held |
Player by player
Pascal Siakam finished with 13 points, 7 short of 20+ points. That hit rate missed this time. Pascal Siakam finished with 5 rebounds, 1 short of 6+ rebounds. That hit rate missed this time. Pascal Siakam finished with 4 assists, clearing 2+ assists. That hit rate held. Pascal Siakam finished with 0 threes made, 1 short of 1+ threes. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Pascal Siakam's last 10 showed 20+ points in 9 of 10, 6+ rebounds in 8 of 10, 2+ assists in 8 of 10, 1+ threes in 8 of 10.
Andrew Nembhard finished with 22 points, clearing 12+ points. That hit rate held. Andrew Nembhard finished with 9 assists, clearing 6+ assists. That hit rate held. Andrew Nembhard finished with 5 threes made, clearing 1+ threes. That hit rate held. Before this game, Andrew Nembhard's last 10 showed 12+ points in 9 of 10, 6+ assists in 8 of 10, 1+ threes in 8 of 10.
Aaron Nesmith finished with 9 points, 3 short of 12+ points. That hit rate missed this time. Aaron Nesmith finished with 1 threes made, clearing 1+ threes. That hit rate held. Before this game, Aaron Nesmith's last 10 showed 12+ points in 8 of 10, 1+ threes in 10 of 10.
Giannis Antetokounmpo finished with 31 points, clearing 20+ points. That hit rate held. Giannis Antetokounmpo finished with 18 rebounds, clearing 6+ rebounds. That hit rate held. Giannis Antetokounmpo finished with 10 assists, clearing 3+ assists. That hit rate held. Before this game, Giannis Antetokounmpo's last 10 showed 20+ points in 9 of 10, 6+ rebounds in 9 of 10, 3+ assists in 9 of 10.
Davion Mitchell finished with 15 points, clearing 10+ points. That hit rate held. Davion Mitchell finished with 11 assists, clearing 5+ assists. That hit rate held. Davion Mitchell finished with 3 threes made, clearing 1+ threes. That hit rate held. Before this game, Davion Mitchell's last 10 showed 10+ points in 9 of 10, 5+ assists in 8 of 10, 1+ threes in 8 of 10.
Bam Adebayo finished with 9 rebounds, clearing 6+ rebounds. That hit rate held. Bam Adebayo finished with 3 assists, clearing 3+ assists. That hit rate held. Before this game, Bam Adebayo's last 10 showed 6+ rebounds in 9 of 10, 3+ assists in 9 of 10.
Bobby Portis finished with 8 points, 2 short of 10+ points. That hit rate missed this time. Bobby Portis finished with 3 rebounds, 3 short of 6+ rebounds. That hit rate missed this time. Bobby Portis finished with 2 threes made, clearing 1+ threes. That hit rate held. Before this game, Bobby Portis's last 10 showed 10+ points in 9 of 10, 6+ rebounds in 9 of 10, 1+ threes in 9 of 10.
Pelle Larsson finished with 3 assists, clearing 2+ assists. That hit rate held. Before this game, Pelle Larsson's last 10 showed 2+ assists in 8 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Pacers vs Heat on Oct 30, 2026?
Indiana Pacers 125, Miami Heat 145 (Final). Heat beat Pacers 145-125, a 20-point margin. That is a blowout game script: in games decided by 20 or more, starters often sit for much of the fourth quarter, which caps counting stats.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More NBA player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.