Warriors vs Lakers Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 21)
Published · Updated · NBA
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Golden State Warriors 105, Los Angeles Lakers 127 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Warriors vs Lakers?
Final on Oct 21, 2026: Warriors 105, Lakers 127. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Stephen Curry (15+ points: 23), Gui Santos (4+ rebounds: 5), Brandon Williams (12+ points: 14), Luka Doncic (5+ rebounds: 8), Luka Doncic (4+ assists: 7), Luka Doncic (3+ threes: 5). Fell short: Stephen Curry (2+ assists: 1), Stephen Curry (3+ threes: 2), Gui Santos (2+ assists: 0), Brandon Williams (5+ assists: 3), Gary Payton II (3+ rebounds: 1), De'Anthony Melton (3+ rebounds: 2).
Game script
Lakers beat Warriors 127-105, a 22-point margin. That is a blowout game script: in games decided by 20 or more, starters often sit for much of the fourth quarter, which caps counting stats.
Golden State Warriors player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen CurryG · 21 min | 15+ pointsPoints, last-10 avg 24.7 | 9 of 10 | 23 | Held |
| Stephen Curry | 2+ assistsAssists, last-10 avg 3.4 | 9 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
| Stephen Curry | 3+ threesThrees made, last-10 avg 4.4 | 9 of 10 | 2 | Missed |
| Gui SantosF · 25 min | 4+ reboundsRebounds, last-10 avg 5.3 | 8 of 10 | 5 | Held |
| Gui Santos | 2+ assistsAssists, last-10 avg 3.5 | 8 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
| Brandon WilliamsG · 18 min | 12+ pointsPoints, last-10 avg 13.9 | 8 of 10 | 14 | Held |
| Brandon Williams | 5+ assistsAssists, last-10 avg 4.8 | 8 of 10 | 3 | Missed |
| Gary Payton IIG · 18 min | 3+ reboundsRebounds, last-10 avg 4.1 | 8 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
| De'Anthony MeltonG · 21 min | 3+ reboundsRebounds, last-10 avg 4.4 | 8 of 10 | 2 | Missed |
| De'Anthony Melton | 3+ assistsAssists, last-10 avg 3.1 | 8 of 10 | 2 | Missed |
Los Angeles Lakers player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DoncicG · 30 min | 30+ pointsPoints, last-10 avg 36.9 | 9 of 10 | 28 | Missed |
| Luka Doncic | 5+ reboundsRebounds, last-10 avg 6.8 | 9 of 10 | 8 | Held |
| Luka Doncic | 4+ assistsAssists, last-10 avg 7.3 | 8 of 10 | 7 | Held |
| Luka Doncic | 3+ threesThrees made, last-10 avg 4.6 | 9 of 10 | 5 | Held |
| Austin ReavesG · 32 min | 15+ pointsPoints, last-10 avg 19.9 | 9 of 10 | 23 | Held |
| Austin Reaves | 3+ reboundsRebounds, last-10 avg 4.5 | 9 of 10 | 4 | Held |
| Austin Reaves | 4+ assistsAssists, last-10 avg 5.4 | 8 of 10 | 6 | Held |
| Walker KesslerC · 30 min | 8+ reboundsRebounds, last-10 avg 10.8 | 5 of 5 | 9 | Held |
| Walker Kessler | 2+ assistsAssists, last-10 avg 3 | 4 of 5 | 1 | Missed |
| Ziaire WilliamsF · 24 min | 1+ threesThrees made, last-10 avg 1.2 | 9 of 10 | 1 | Held |
| Sandro MamukelashviliF · 22 min | 3+ reboundsRebounds, last-10 avg 5.5 | 9 of 10 | 4 | Held |
Player by player
Stephen Curry finished with 23 points, clearing 15+ points. That hit rate held. Stephen Curry finished with 1 assists, 1 short of 2+ assists. That hit rate missed this time. Stephen Curry finished with 2 threes made, 1 short of 3+ threes. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Stephen Curry's last 10 showed 15+ points in 9 of 10, 2+ assists in 9 of 10, 3+ threes in 9 of 10.
Gui Santos finished with 5 rebounds, clearing 4+ rebounds. That hit rate held. Gui Santos finished with 0 assists, 2 short of 2+ assists. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Gui Santos's last 10 showed 4+ rebounds in 8 of 10, 2+ assists in 8 of 10.
Brandon Williams finished with 14 points, clearing 12+ points. That hit rate held. Brandon Williams finished with 3 assists, 2 short of 5+ assists. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Brandon Williams's last 10 showed 12+ points in 8 of 10, 5+ assists in 8 of 10.
Gary Payton II finished with 1 rebounds, 2 short of 3+ rebounds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Gary Payton II's last 10 showed 3+ rebounds in 8 of 10.
De'Anthony Melton finished with 2 rebounds, 1 short of 3+ rebounds. That hit rate missed this time. De'Anthony Melton finished with 2 assists, 1 short of 3+ assists. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, De'Anthony Melton's last 10 showed 3+ rebounds in 8 of 10, 3+ assists in 8 of 10.
Luka Doncic finished with 28 points, 2 short of 30+ points. That hit rate missed this time. Luka Doncic finished with 8 rebounds, clearing 5+ rebounds. That hit rate held. Luka Doncic finished with 7 assists, clearing 4+ assists. That hit rate held. Luka Doncic finished with 5 threes made, clearing 3+ threes. That hit rate held. Before this game, Luka Doncic's last 10 showed 30+ points in 9 of 10, 5+ rebounds in 9 of 10, 4+ assists in 8 of 10, 3+ threes in 9 of 10.
Austin Reaves finished with 23 points, clearing 15+ points. That hit rate held. Austin Reaves finished with 4 rebounds, clearing 3+ rebounds. That hit rate held. Austin Reaves finished with 6 assists, clearing 4+ assists. That hit rate held. Before this game, Austin Reaves's last 10 showed 15+ points in 9 of 10, 3+ rebounds in 9 of 10, 4+ assists in 8 of 10.
Walker Kessler finished with 9 rebounds, clearing 8+ rebounds. That hit rate held. Walker Kessler finished with 1 assists, 1 short of 2+ assists. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Walker Kessler's last 10 showed 8+ rebounds in 5 of 5, 2+ assists in 4 of 5.
Ziaire Williams finished with 1 threes made, clearing 1+ threes. That hit rate held. Before this game, Ziaire Williams's last 10 showed 1+ threes in 9 of 10.
Sandro Mamukelashvili finished with 4 rebounds, clearing 3+ rebounds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Sandro Mamukelashvili's last 10 showed 3+ rebounds in 9 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Warriors vs Lakers on Oct 21, 2026?
Golden State Warriors 105, Los Angeles Lakers 127 (Final). Lakers beat Warriors 127-105, a 22-point margin. That is a blowout game script: in games decided by 20 or more, starters often sit for much of the fourth quarter, which caps counting stats.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More NBA player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.