Bears vs Falcons Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 18)
Published · Updated · NFL
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Chicago Bears 31, Atlanta Falcons 23 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Bears vs Falcons?
Final on Oct 18, 2026: Bears 31, Falcons 23. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Caleb Williams (175+ pass yds: 305), D'Andre Swift (40+ rush yds: 44), D'Andre Swift (1+ receptions: 4), Luther Burden III (30+ rec yds: 95), Luther Burden III (3+ receptions: 8), Colston Loveland (2+ receptions: 6). Fell short: Caleb Williams (10+ rush yds: 3), Rome Odunze (40+ rec yds: 39), Bijan Robinson (70+ rush yds: 61).
Game script
Bears beat Falcons 31-23, an 8-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
Chicago Bears player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb WilliamsQB | 175+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 239.9 | 8 of 10 | 305 | Held |
| Caleb Williams | 10+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 25.7 | 9 of 10 | 3 | Missed |
| D'Andre SwiftRB | 40+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 63.6 | 10 of 10 | 44 | Held |
| D'Andre Swift | 1+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.1 | 9 of 10 | 4 | Held |
| Luther Burden IIIWR | 30+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 58.9 | 9 of 10 | 95 | Held |
| Luther Burden III | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.6 | 10 of 10 | 8 | Held |
| Colston LovelandTE | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.4 | 8 of 10 | 6 | Held |
| Rome OdunzeWR | 40+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 46.3 | 9 of 10 | 39 | Missed |
| Rome Odunze | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.8 | 10 of 10 | 3 | Held |
| Kalif RaymondWR | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.5 | 8 of 10 | 2 | Held |
Atlanta Falcons player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Penix Jr.QB | 175+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 226.8 | 9 of 10 | 225 | Held |
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 70+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 106.3 | 9 of 10 | 61 | Missed |
| Bijan Robinson | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.3 | 9 of 10 | 2 | Held |
| Drake LondonWR | 20+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 82 | 9 of 10 | 62 | Held |
| Drake London | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.8 | 8 of 10 | 4 | Held |
Player by player
Caleb Williams finished with 305 passing yards, clearing 175+ pass yds. That hit rate held. Caleb Williams finished with 3 rushing yards, 7 short of 10+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Caleb Williams's last 10 showed 175+ pass yds in 8 of 10, 10+ rush yds in 9 of 10.
D'Andre Swift finished with 44 rushing yards, clearing 40+ rush yds. That hit rate held. D'Andre Swift finished with 4 receptions, clearing 1+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, D'Andre Swift's last 10 showed 40+ rush yds in 10 of 10, 1+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Luther Burden III finished with 95 receiving yards, clearing 30+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Luther Burden III finished with 8 receptions, clearing 3+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Luther Burden III's last 10 showed 30+ rec yds in 9 of 10, 3+ receptions in 10 of 10.
Colston Loveland finished with 6 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Colston Loveland's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Rome Odunze finished with 39 receiving yards, 1 short of 40+ rec yds. That hit rate missed this time. Rome Odunze finished with 3 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Rome Odunze's last 10 showed 40+ rec yds in 9 of 10, 2+ receptions in 10 of 10.
Kalif Raymond finished with 2 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Kalif Raymond's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Michael Penix Jr. finished with 225 passing yards, clearing 175+ pass yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Michael Penix Jr.'s last 10 showed 175+ pass yds in 9 of 10.
Bijan Robinson finished with 61 rushing yards, 9 short of 70+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. Bijan Robinson finished with 2 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Bijan Robinson's last 10 showed 70+ rush yds in 9 of 10, 2+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Drake London finished with 62 receiving yards, clearing 20+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Drake London finished with 4 receptions, clearing 3+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Drake London's last 10 showed 20+ rec yds in 9 of 10, 3+ receptions in 8 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Bears vs Falcons on Oct 18, 2026?
Chicago Bears 31, Atlanta Falcons 23 (Final). Bears beat Falcons 31-23, an 8-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More NFL player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.