DARIMARKET
NFL · Game recap · Mon, Nov 2

Bears vs. Seahawks Recap: Swift Scores Three as Six Props Cash

Final · Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks
Bears 34, Seahawks 17
Board plays on this game
6 of 10 hit. We post the misses too.

The Bears beat the Seahawks 34-17 on Monday Night Football. Chicago opened with a 17-play, 80-yard touchdown drive that ate 8:32 of the first quarter, and Caleb Williams finished it with a 1-yard throw to Luther Burden III. Seattle pulled within 13-9 at the half on a late Jaxon Smith-Njigba touchdown, and later cut it to 20-17 after a Chicago fumble. D'Andre Swift then scored twice in the fourth quarter to put it away. Chicago held the ball for 35:03 and was 4-4 in the red zone. Six DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: D'Andre Swift 70+ rushing + receiving yards (-218 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Swift had cleared 70+ scrimmage yards in 9 of his last 10 games and 18 of his last 20. The -218 price implied about 69% against a recent rate near 85%. - What happened: Swift carried 27 times for 69 yards and caught 2 passes for 10 more, giving him 79 scrimmage yards and a 9.5-yard cushion. He also ran in three touchdowns, from 1, 5 and 5 yards out. - Worth watching: Twenty-seven carries is a featured-back workload. When the volume is that steady, a combined yardage line holds up even on a night when the per-carry average is low.

ALT: Caleb Williams 240+ passing yards (+101 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Williams had cleared 240+ passing yards in 8 of his last 10 and 11 of his last 20. At +101, the price implied about 50% against a recent rate near 65%. - What happened: He completed 24-of-34 passes for 247 yards with a touchdown and no interceptions. That cleared the line by 7.5. - Worth watching: This one was close. Chicago leaned on the run late with a lead, so passing yardage lines carry game-script risk when the Bears are ahead.

Rome Odunze 39+ receiving yards (-114 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Odunze had cleared 39+ receiving yards in 9 of his last 10 and 16 of his last 20. The -114 price implied about 53% against a recent rate near 80%. - What happened: He caught 4 of 6 targets for 87 yards, averaging 21.8 yards per catch with a long of 24. He cleared the number by 48.5. - Worth watching: Odunze got there on only four catches. His yards come in chunks, so a modest yardage line can clear quickly.

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ALT: Luther Burden III 40+ receiving yards (-220 at FanDuel and DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Burden had cleared 40+ receiving yards in 6 of 7 games this season, averaging 70.1. - What happened: He tied for the team lead with 7 catches on 9 targets for 56 yards, with a long of 23, and scored the opening touchdown. He cleared by 16.5. - Worth watching: Nine targets is real volume. Burden and Colston Loveland each had 7 catches, so Burden is earning looks inside a crowded passing game.

ALT: Jaxon Smith-Njigba 70+ receiving yards (-295 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Smith-Njigba had cleared 70+ receiving yards in 10 of his last 10 and 19 of his last 20. The -295 price implied about 75% against a recent rate near 91%. - What happened: He caught 6 of 11 targets for 118 yards, including a 43-yard touchdown with 30 seconds left in the first half. He cleared the line by 48.5. - Worth watching: Eleven targets in a game where Sam Darnold threw 34 passes shows how much of the offense runs through him. The alt line costs a lot, but the volume backs it.

ALT: Sam Darnold 5+ rushing yards (-114 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Darnold had cleared 5+ rushing yards in 8 of his last 10 and 12 of his last 20. The -114 price implied about 53% against a recent rate near 67%. - What happened: He ran twice for 20 yards, with a long of 14, and cleared by 15.5. - Worth watching: One scramble can cover a low quarterback rushing line. That makes these small numbers worth checking when the price is near even.

How the game played out

Seattle had chances to keep it closer. Trailing 20-9 in the third quarter, the Seahawks drove 11 plays before a 33-yard field goal was blocked. They converted just 1-11 on third down. After Seattle made it 20-17, Chicago answered with a 6-play, 56-yard touchdown drive. A James Lynch interception then set the Bears up at the Seattle 6 for Swift's third score.

Trends to watch

  • Swift handled 27 of Chicago's 35 rushing attempts and all three rushing touchdowns. That goal-line role is worth noting for touchdown markets.
  • Smith-Njigba drew 11 of Darnold's 34 targets. No other Seahawk had more than 6.
  • Chicago's passing game spread out between Odunze, Burden and Loveland, who had 65 yards on 9 targets. Odunze's yards per catch make him the best fit for a yardage line.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. See our guides on alt lines and anytime touchdown bets, or visit the NFL hub.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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