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Broncos vs Chargers Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 11)

Published · Updated · NFL

This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.

Final: Denver Broncos 23, Los Angeles Chargers 17 (Final).

Who cleared their player props in Broncos vs Chargers?

Final on Oct 11, 2026: Broncos 23, Chargers 17. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Bo Nix (5+ rush yds: 10), J.K. Dobbins (40+ rush yds: 68), Jaylen Waddle (2+ receptions: 2), Courtland Sutton (2+ receptions: 2), Justin Herbert (5+ rush yds: 54). Fell short: Bo Nix (175+ pass yds: 123), RJ Harvey (4+ receptions: 0), Justin Herbert (150+ pass yds: 121), Omarion Hampton (40+ rush yds: 33), Tre' Harris (20+ rec yds: 16).

Game script

Broncos beat Chargers 23-17, a 6-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.

Denver Broncos player prop results

PlayerLine (last 10 before)Pre-gameActualResult
Bo NixQB175+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 228.78 of 10123Missed
Bo Nix5+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 18.19 of 1010Held
J.K. DobbinsRB40+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 618 of 1068Held
Jaylen WaddleWR2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.48 of 102Held
Courtland SuttonWR2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.48 of 102Held
RJ HarveyRB4+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.58 of 100Missed

Los Angeles Chargers player prop results

PlayerLine (last 10 before)Pre-gameActualResult
Justin HerbertQB150+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 201.19 of 10121Missed
Justin Herbert5+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 29.88 of 1054Held
Omarion HamptonRB40+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 51.28 of 1033Missed
Tre' HarrisWR20+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 38.68 of 1016Missed

Player by player

Bo Nix finished with 123 passing yards, 52 short of 175+ pass yds. That hit rate missed this time. Bo Nix finished with 10 rushing yards, clearing 5+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Bo Nix's last 10 showed 175+ pass yds in 8 of 10, 5+ rush yds in 9 of 10.

J.K. Dobbins finished with 68 rushing yards, clearing 40+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, J.K. Dobbins's last 10 showed 40+ rush yds in 8 of 10.

Jaylen Waddle finished with 2 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jaylen Waddle's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 8 of 10.

Courtland Sutton finished with 2 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Courtland Sutton's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 8 of 10.

RJ Harvey finished with 0 receptions, 4 short of 4+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, RJ Harvey's last 10 showed 4+ receptions in 8 of 10.

Justin Herbert finished with 121 passing yards, 29 short of 150+ pass yds. That hit rate missed this time. Justin Herbert finished with 54 rushing yards, clearing 5+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Justin Herbert's last 10 showed 150+ pass yds in 9 of 10, 5+ rush yds in 8 of 10.

Omarion Hampton finished with 33 rushing yards, 7 short of 40+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Omarion Hampton's last 10 showed 40+ rush yds in 8 of 10.

Tre' Harris finished with 16 receiving yards, 4 short of 20+ rec yds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Tre' Harris's last 10 showed 20+ rec yds in 8 of 10.

What's next

What was the final score of Broncos vs Chargers on Oct 11, 2026?

Denver Broncos 23, Los Angeles Chargers 17 (Final). Broncos beat Chargers 23-17, a 6-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.

What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?

For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.

More NFL player prop results

Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.

Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.