Chargers vs Bills Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Sep 27)
Published · Updated · NFL
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Los Angeles Chargers 16, Buffalo Bills 24 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Chargers vs Bills?
Final on Sep 27, 2026: Chargers 16, Bills 24. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Justin Herbert (150+ pass yds: 226), Justin Herbert (5+ rush yds: 17), Omarion Hampton (40+ rush yds: 56), Ladd McConkey (20+ rec yds: 66), Ladd McConkey (2+ receptions: 4), Quentin Johnston (2+ receptions: 3). Fell short: Omarion Hampton (1+ receptions: 0), James Cook III (1+ receptions: 0), Dalton Kincaid (3+ receptions: 2), Khalil Shakir (30+ rec yds: 6), Khalil Shakir (3+ receptions: 1).
Game script
Bills beat Chargers 24-16, an 8-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
Los Angeles Chargers player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin HerbertQB | 150+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 189.7 | 8 of 10 | 226 | Held |
| Justin Herbert | 5+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 28.1 | 8 of 10 | 17 | Held |
| Omarion HamptonRB | 40+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 60.9 | 8 of 10 | 56 | Held |
| Omarion Hampton | 1+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.1 | 8 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
| Ladd McConkeyWR | 20+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 41.4 | 8 of 10 | 66 | Held |
| Ladd McConkey | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3 | 8 of 10 | 4 | Held |
| Quentin JohnstonWR | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.9 | 8 of 10 | 3 | Held |
Buffalo Bills player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 20+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 39.9 | 8 of 10 | 22 | Held |
| James Cook IIIRB | 50+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 89.2 | 8 of 10 | 154 | Held |
| James Cook III | 1+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 1.7 | 9 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 30+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 59.7 | 8 of 10 | 38 | Held |
| Dalton Kincaid | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.9 | 8 of 10 | 2 | Missed |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 30+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 51 | 8 of 10 | 6 | Missed |
| Khalil Shakir | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 5.2 | 8 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.2 | 9 of 10 | 4 | Held |
Player by player
Justin Herbert finished with 226 passing yards, clearing 150+ pass yds. That hit rate held. Justin Herbert finished with 17 rushing yards, clearing 5+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Justin Herbert's last 10 showed 150+ pass yds in 8 of 10, 5+ rush yds in 8 of 10.
Omarion Hampton finished with 56 rushing yards, clearing 40+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Omarion Hampton finished with 0 receptions, 1 short of 1+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Omarion Hampton's last 10 showed 40+ rush yds in 8 of 10, 1+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Ladd McConkey finished with 66 receiving yards, clearing 20+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Ladd McConkey finished with 4 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Ladd McConkey's last 10 showed 20+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 2+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Quentin Johnston finished with 3 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Quentin Johnston's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Josh Allen finished with 22 rushing yards, clearing 20+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Josh Allen's last 10 showed 20+ rush yds in 8 of 10.
James Cook III finished with 154 rushing yards, clearing 50+ rush yds. That hit rate held. James Cook III finished with 0 receptions, 1 short of 1+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, James Cook III's last 10 showed 50+ rush yds in 8 of 10, 1+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Dalton Kincaid finished with 38 receiving yards, clearing 30+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Dalton Kincaid finished with 2 receptions, 1 short of 3+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Dalton Kincaid's last 10 showed 30+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 3+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Khalil Shakir finished with 6 receiving yards, 24 short of 30+ rec yds. That hit rate missed this time. Khalil Shakir finished with 1 receptions, 2 short of 3+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Khalil Shakir's last 10 showed 30+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 3+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Ty Johnson finished with 4 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Ty Johnson's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 9 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Chargers vs Bills on Sep 27, 2026?
Los Angeles Chargers 16, Buffalo Bills 24 (Final). Bills beat Chargers 24-16, an 8-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More NFL player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.