Colts vs Steelers Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 11)
Published · Updated · NFL
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Indianapolis Colts 22, Pittsburgh Steelers 34 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Colts vs Steelers?
Final on Oct 11, 2026: Colts 22, Steelers 34. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Daniel Jones (150+ pass yds: 267), Jonathan Taylor (2+ receptions: 3), Josh Downs (20+ rec yds: 47), Josh Downs (2+ receptions: 3), Keenan Allen (20+ rec yds: 45), Keenan Allen (3+ receptions: 5). Fell short: Jonathan Taylor (60+ rush yds: 45), DK Metcalf (30+ rec yds: 12).
Game script
Steelers beat Colts 34-22, a 12-point margin.
Indianapolis Colts player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel JonesQB | 150+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 206.5 | 8 of 10 | 267 | Held |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 60+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 74.1 | 8 of 10 | 45 | Missed |
| Jonathan Taylor | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.4 | 8 of 10 | 3 | Held |
| Josh DownsWR | 20+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 44.2 | 8 of 10 | 47 | Held |
| Josh Downs | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.7 | 10 of 10 | 3 | Held |
| Keenan AllenWR | 20+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 31 | 8 of 10 | 45 | Held |
| Keenan Allen | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.1 | 8 of 10 | 5 | Held |
| Tyler WarrenTE | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.4 | 9 of 10 | 7 | Held |
Pittsburgh Steelers player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron RodgersQB | 175+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 238.1 | 8 of 10 | 235 | Held |
| Jaylen WarrenRB | 40+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 67.1 | 8 of 10 | 101 | Held |
| Jaylen Warren | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.7 | 8 of 10 | 6 | Held |
| DK MetcalfWR | 30+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 55.4 | 8 of 10 | 12 | Missed |
| DK Metcalf | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4 | 9 of 10 | 3 | Held |
| Pat FreiermuthTE | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3 | 9 of 10 | 5 | Held |
Player by player
Daniel Jones finished with 267 passing yards, clearing 150+ pass yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Daniel Jones's last 10 showed 150+ pass yds in 8 of 10.
Jonathan Taylor finished with 45 rushing yards, 15 short of 60+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. Jonathan Taylor finished with 3 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jonathan Taylor's last 10 showed 60+ rush yds in 8 of 10, 2+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Josh Downs finished with 47 receiving yards, clearing 20+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Josh Downs finished with 3 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Josh Downs's last 10 showed 20+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 2+ receptions in 10 of 10.
Keenan Allen finished with 45 receiving yards, clearing 20+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Keenan Allen finished with 5 receptions, clearing 3+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Keenan Allen's last 10 showed 20+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 3+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Tyler Warren finished with 7 receptions, clearing 3+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Tyler Warren's last 10 showed 3+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Aaron Rodgers finished with 235 passing yards, clearing 175+ pass yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Aaron Rodgers's last 10 showed 175+ pass yds in 8 of 10.
Jaylen Warren finished with 101 rushing yards, clearing 40+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Jaylen Warren finished with 6 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jaylen Warren's last 10 showed 40+ rush yds in 8 of 10, 2+ receptions in 8 of 10.
DK Metcalf finished with 12 receiving yards, 18 short of 30+ rec yds. That hit rate missed this time. DK Metcalf finished with 3 receptions, clearing 3+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, DK Metcalf's last 10 showed 30+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 3+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Pat Freiermuth finished with 5 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Pat Freiermuth's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 9 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Colts vs Steelers on Oct 11, 2026?
Indianapolis Colts 22, Pittsburgh Steelers 34 (Final). Steelers beat Colts 34-22, a 12-point margin.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More NFL player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.