Steelers vs Saints Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 25)
Published · Updated · NFL
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 16, New Orleans Saints 10 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Steelers vs Saints?
Final on Oct 25, 2026: Steelers 16, Saints 10. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Aaron Rodgers (175+ pass yds: 212), Jaylen Warren (40+ rush yds: 101), Jaylen Warren (2+ receptions: 3), DK Metcalf (30+ rec yds: 56), Pat Freiermuth (2+ receptions: 2), Rico Dowdle (2+ receptions: 6). Fell short: DK Metcalf (3+ receptions: 2), Juwan Johnson (30+ rec yds: 7), Juwan Johnson (3+ receptions: 1).
Game script
Steelers beat Saints 16-10, a 6-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
Pittsburgh Steelers player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron RodgersQB | 175+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 236.1 | 8 of 10 | 212 | Held |
| Jaylen WarrenRB | 40+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 77.6 | 10 of 10 | 101 | Held |
| Jaylen Warren | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.9 | 8 of 10 | 3 | Held |
| DK MetcalfWR | 30+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 60.5 | 8 of 10 | 56 | Held |
| DK Metcalf | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.6 | 9 of 10 | 2 | Missed |
| Pat FreiermuthTE | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.2 | 9 of 10 | 2 | Held |
| Rico DowdleRB | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.4 | 8 of 10 | 6 | Held |
New Orleans Saints player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler ShoughQB | 250+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 261.5 | 8 of 10 | 278 | Held |
| Tyler Shough | 5+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 18.4 | 9 of 10 | 7 | Held |
| Chris OlaveWR | 40+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 96.2 | 9 of 10 | 56 | Held |
| Chris Olave | 4+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 7 | 9 of 10 | 6 | Held |
| Devaughn VeleWR | 30+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 53.3 | 9 of 10 | 54 | Held |
| Devaughn Vele | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.7 | 10 of 10 | 5 | Held |
| Juwan JohnsonTE | 30+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 52.3 | 8 of 10 | 7 | Missed |
| Juwan Johnson | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.4 | 9 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
| Alvin KamaraRB | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.6 | 8 of 10 | 7 | Held |
Player by player
Aaron Rodgers finished with 212 passing yards, clearing 175+ pass yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Aaron Rodgers's last 10 showed 175+ pass yds in 8 of 10.
Jaylen Warren finished with 101 rushing yards, clearing 40+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Jaylen Warren finished with 3 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jaylen Warren's last 10 showed 40+ rush yds in 10 of 10, 2+ receptions in 8 of 10.
DK Metcalf finished with 56 receiving yards, clearing 30+ rec yds. That hit rate held. DK Metcalf finished with 2 receptions, 1 short of 3+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, DK Metcalf's last 10 showed 30+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 3+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Pat Freiermuth finished with 2 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Pat Freiermuth's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Rico Dowdle finished with 6 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Rico Dowdle's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Tyler Shough finished with 278 passing yards, clearing 250+ pass yds. That hit rate held. Tyler Shough finished with 7 rushing yards, clearing 5+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Tyler Shough's last 10 showed 250+ pass yds in 8 of 10, 5+ rush yds in 9 of 10.
Chris Olave finished with 56 receiving yards, clearing 40+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Chris Olave finished with 6 receptions, clearing 4+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Chris Olave's last 10 showed 40+ rec yds in 9 of 10, 4+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Devaughn Vele finished with 54 receiving yards, clearing 30+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Devaughn Vele finished with 5 receptions, clearing 3+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Devaughn Vele's last 10 showed 30+ rec yds in 9 of 10, 3+ receptions in 10 of 10.
Juwan Johnson finished with 7 receiving yards, 23 short of 30+ rec yds. That hit rate missed this time. Juwan Johnson finished with 1 receptions, 2 short of 3+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Juwan Johnson's last 10 showed 30+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 3+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Alvin Kamara finished with 7 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Alvin Kamara's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 8 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Steelers vs Saints on Oct 25, 2026?
Pittsburgh Steelers 16, New Orleans Saints 10 (Final). Steelers beat Saints 16-10, a 6-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More NFL player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.