Steelers vs. Saints Recap: Boswell's Leg and Two Dowdle Props

The Steelers beat the Saints 16-10 on Sunday morning in a game decided by field goals. The teams were tied 10-10 late in the second quarter before Chris Boswell hit from 47 yards as the half ended and from 39 yards late in the third. Pittsburgh then ran out the final 5:52 on an 11-play drive. Neither team scored in the fourth quarter. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Steelers ML (-166 at FanDuel): CASHED

• Our read: Pittsburgh had won 7 of its last 10 and New Orleans 5 of its last 10, with the Steelers favored at -166.
• What happened: The Steelers won by six. They converted 10 of 16 third downs, did not turn it over, and held the ball for 32:03.
• Worth watching: Short favorites who protect the ball are the kind of moneyline we like. Pittsburgh went 1 of 4 in the red zone, so the margin stayed tight even on a clean day.

ALT: Rico Dowdle 5+ receiving yards (-188 at FanDuel): CASHED

• Our read: Dowdle had cleared 5 receiving yards in 9 of his last 10 games and 17 of his last 20, and -188 implied about 65% against roughly 83% from those games.
• What happened: He caught all 6 of his targets for 45 yards, a long of 13. That is 40.5 yards over the line.

ALT: Rico Dowdle 2+ receptions (-102 at DraftKings): CASHED

• Our read: Dowdle had cleared 2 catches in 8 of his last 10 games, and the best price (-102) implied about 50% against roughly 69% from recent games.
• What happened: He finished with 6 catches, 4.5 over the line, tied with DK Metcalf for the team lead in targets.
• Worth watching: Dowdle had 9 carries for 41 yards while Jaylen Warren handled the ground game. Even in the smaller rushing role, his passing-down work made his receiving lines the cleaner angle.

ALT: Tyler Shough 240+ passing yards (+119 at DraftKings): CASHED

• Our read: Shough had cleared 240 passing yards in 8 of his last 10 games, and +119 implied about 46% against roughly 66% from his recent games.
• What happened: He completed 30 of 38 passes for 278 yards with a touchdown to Devaughn Vele and an interception. That cleared the line by 38.5.
• Worth watching: The Saints ran 17 times for only 18 yards, which pushed the offense through Shough. If New Orleans keeps struggling on the ground, his yardage lines stay worth a look.

How the game played out

Pittsburgh opened with a 28-yard Boswell field goal, and Aaron Rodgers hit Darnell Washington for a 4-yard touchdown in the second quarter. Shough answered with a 1-yard scoring pass to Vele to tie it at 10. The third quarter swung it: New Orleans put together a 14-play drive that ended in an interception, and a later 11-play Saints drive came up empty on a field goal try. Jaylen Warren ran 18 times for 101 yards for the Steelers.

Trends to watch

• Warren's 101 yards on 18 carries led a Pittsburgh ground game that put up 148 yards on 30 attempts. His rushing line is the one to check next week.
• Alvin Kamara caught 7 passes on 7 targets for 57 yards. With the Saints' run game stuck, his receiving work is where his value showed up.
• Chris Olave saw a team-high 10 targets for 6 catches and 56 yards. Volume like that keeps his reception line in play.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on pricing favorites, see our moneyline and implied probability guides, or the full board on /nfl.