DARIMARKET
NHL · Game recap · Wed, Oct 28

Maple Leafs vs. Kraken Recap: Late Winner, Cowan and Rielly Cash

Final · Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken
Kraken 5, Maple Leafs 4
Board plays on this game
3 of 3 hit.

The Kraken beat the Maple Leafs 5-4 in Seattle on Wednesday night, and the winner came with 33 seconds left in regulation. Brandon Montour scored at 19:27 of the 3rd, less than a minute after Auston Matthews tied it 4-4 at 18:30. Seattle led 4-2 midway through the 2nd after Ryker Evans scored at 10:58, and Toronto clawed back with Jack Roslovic at 8:02 of the 3rd and then Matthews. Gavin McKenna scored twice on the power play for Toronto. Toronto outshot Seattle 21-17, but Sergei Bobrovsky made 12 saves on 17 shots while Philipp Grubauer made 17 saves on 21. Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Easton Cowan 1+ points (-125 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Cowan had a point in 8 of his last 10 (13 points in 14 games), with Tavares out for Toronto. - What happened: Cowan picked up 1 assist on Roslovic's goal at 8:02 of the 3rd, the one that started the comeback from 4-2 down. That cleared the line by 0.5. He played 19:08. - Worth watching: With Tavares out, Cowan is getting real minutes and real linemates. His point prop is worth a look as long as that role holds.

Easton Cowan 2+ shots on goal (-135 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Cowan had two or more shots in 10 of 14 games and 8 of his last 10, now skating on the top line with Matthews and Roslovic. - What happened: He finished with 3 shots on goal, clearing the line by 1.5. Toronto only managed 21 shots as a team, so Cowan took a healthy share of them. - Worth watching: Even on a low-event night for both teams, Cowan still got to 3. That is the sign of a real role, not a one-off.

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Morgan Rielly under 1.5 shots on goal (-150 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Rielly had one or fewer shots in 10 of 14 games and 7 of his last 10, playing second-pair minutes with Stecher. - What happened: Rielly had 0 shots on goal in 19:52 and no power-play time at all, staying 1.5 under the line. He blocked 2 shots. - Worth watching: No power-play time is what keeps a defenseman's shot count low. If his usage stays like this, the under remains a sensible look.

How the game played out

The 2nd period was wild. The teams traded four goals in the first 10:58, with McKenna's second power-play goal at 1:46 tying it 2-2 before Seattle scored twice to go up 4-2. Toronto scored on 2 of its 3 power plays, while Seattle scored once on 5 chances. The Leafs climbed all the way back in the 3rd, then gave it up in the final minute.

Trends to watch

  • Low shot totals: the teams combined for 38 shots on goal. Low-event games like this one help shot unders on defensemen who get no power-play time.
  • Toronto's power play: McKenna scored twice with the man advantage and Matthews assisted on both. Half of Toronto's four goals came on the power play.
  • Goaltending: Bobrovsky finished at a .706 save percentage and Grubauer at .810, so goals came easier than the shot count suggests.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. More hockey on the NHL hub, every recap at NHL recaps, and how shot and point props work in our player prop glossary.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

Player hit rates from this game

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Free. Hit rates show past results, not a prediction. 21+.

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