NFL player prop hit rates
How often each player cleared his line over the last 5 and last 10 games.
This week's NFL games and best posted FanDuel and DraftKings lines →
Which NFL players hit their longest reception props most often?
As of Oct 28, 2026: Dallas Goedert (PHI) cleared 15+ longest catch in 8 of the last 10 games; Chig Okonkwo (WSH) cleared 15+ longest catch in 7 of the last 10 games; Darnell Washington (PIT) cleared 10+ longest catch in 7 of the last 10 games. The table ranks every NFL player with a game coming up by last-10 hit rate at the line closest to their median. Hit rates show what already happened, not what will.
42 NFL players with a game coming up · line = closest to each player's median · sorted by last 10
| Player | Line | L5 | L10 | Splits · cover · + Slip |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Dallas GoedertTE · PHI @ WSH · Sun 8:20 PM | 15+ longest catch | 80%4/5 | 80%8/10 | Sniper |
 Chig OkonkwoTE · WSH vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM | 15+ longest catch | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | Sniper |
 Darnell WashingtonTE · PIT vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM | 10+ longest catch | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | Sniper |
 Kyle Pitts Sr.TE · ATL @ TB · Sun 1:00 PM | 10+ longest catch | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | Sniper |
 Travis KelceTE · KC @ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM | 15+ longest catch | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
 Brenton StrangeTE · JAX vs IND · Sun 1:00 PM | 20+ longest catch | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
 Hunter HenryTE · NE @ MIA · Sun 4:25 PM | 15+ longest catch | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
 Elijah HigginsTE · ARI @ DAL · Sun 1:00 PM | 10+ longest catch | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
 T.J. HockensonTE · MIN @ DET · Sun 1:00 PM | 15+ longest catch | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
 Colston LovelandTE · CHI @ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM | 15+ longest catch | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
 Greg DulcichTE · MIA vs NE · Sun 4:25 PM | 20+ longest catch | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
 Pat FreiermuthTE · PIT vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM | 15+ longest catch | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
 Oronde GadsdenTE · LAC @ LAR · Sun 4:05 PM | 10+ longest catch | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | Sniper |
 Brock BowersTE · LV @ NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM | 20+ longest catch | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 AJ BarnerTE · SEA vs CHI · Mon 8:15 PM | 10+ longest catch | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Noah GrayTE · KC @ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM | 10+ longest catch | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Sam LaPortaTE · DET vs MIN · Sun 1:00 PM | 20+ longest catch | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Tyler HigbeeTE · LAR vs LAC · Sun 4:05 PM | 15+ longest catch | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Michael MayerTE · LV @ NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM | 15+ longest catch | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Eli RaridonTE · NE @ MIA · Sun 4:25 PM | 20+ longest catch | 60%3/5 | 50%3/6 | Sniper |
 Tucker KraftTE · GB vs CAR · Tomorrow 8:15 PM | 20+ longest catch | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Dalton KincaidTE · BUF vs BAL · Sun 1:00 PM | 20+ longest catch | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Darren WallerTE · CAR @ GB · Tomorrow 8:15 PM | 15+ longest catch | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Mike GesickiTE · CIN vs TEN · Sun 1:00 PM | 15+ longest catch | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Mark AndrewsTE · BAL @ BUF · Sun 1:00 PM | 10+ longest catch | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Tommy TrembleTE · CAR @ GB · Tomorrow 8:15 PM | 10+ longest catch | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Charlie KolarTE · LAC @ LAR · Sun 4:05 PM | 10+ longest catch | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Colby ParkinsonTE · LAR vs LAC · Sun 4:05 PM | 15+ longest catch | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Evan EngramTE · DEN vs KC · Sun 4:25 PM | 10+ longest catch | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | Sniper |
 Josh CuevasTE · BAL @ BUF · Sun 1:00 PM | 15+ longest catch | 60%3/5 | 43%3/7 | Sniper |
 Kenyon SadiqTE · NYJ vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM | 10+ longest catch | 40%2/5 | 43%3/7 | Sniper |
 Mitchell EvansTE · CAR @ GB · Tomorrow 8:15 PM | 10+ longest catch | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | Sniper |
 Trey McBrideTE · ARI @ DAL · Sun 1:00 PM | 20+ longest catch | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | Sniper |
 Tyler WarrenTE · IND @ JAX · Sun 1:00 PM | 15+ longest catch | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | Sniper |
 Mason TaylorTE · NYJ vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM | 10+ longest catch | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | Sniper |
 Cole KmetTE · CHI @ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM | 10+ longest catch | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | Sniper |
 Jake FergusonTE · DAL vs ARI · Sun 1:00 PM | 10+ longest catch | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | Sniper |
 Davis AllenTE · LAR vs LAC · Sun 4:05 PM | 10+ longest catch | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | Sniper |
 Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE @ PIT · Sun 1:00 PM | 15+ longest catch | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | Sniper |
 Gunnar HelmTE · TEN @ CIN · Sun 1:00 PM | 10+ longest catch | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | Sniper |
 Cade OttonTE · TB vs ATL · Sun 1:00 PM | 15+ longest catch | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | Sniper |
 Jonnu SmithTE · GB vs CAR · Tomorrow 8:15 PM | 10+ longest catch | 20%1/5 | 20%2/10 | Sniper |
Tap a player for every stat and every alt line, last 5 and last 10. Sniper members get stacked filters, splits, trends and one-tap slips.
Hit rates describe what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Lines shown are each player's median rung, not a book price; check your book before you place anything. 21+.