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Glossary

Futures bet

What does "futures bet" mean in sports betting?

A futures bet is a wager on an outcome settled later, like a league champion, an award winner or a team's season win total.

You place it now and it settles weeks or months later, so your money is tied up the whole time. Prices move through the season as injuries, trades and results change the picture.

Add up the implied probabilities of every option in a futures market to see how much margin the book built in. With many teams in one market, that total can climb well above 100%. Championship futures are also one of the most common spots for hedging once a team gets close.

Example

A team at +1000 to win the title implies 9.09%. A $25 bet returns $275 if they win ($250 profit). In a four-team market priced +150, +200, +300 and +400, the implied probabilities are 40%, 33.33%, 25% and 20%, for a total of 118.33%. That works out to a hold of about 15.49%.

Sources
  1. Sports Gambling 101: What Is Hedging A Bet? The Complete Guide, Sports Illustrated

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