Highest Hit Rates on Mon, Sep 21, 2026: NFL Player Props & Results
Published · Updated · 21+
DARIMARKET is a free sports research app that shows player prop hit rates for FanDuel and DraftKings bettors. This is the Mon, Sep 21, 2026 archive: the highest pre-game hit rates by stat and how each line finished.
Which NFL player props had the highest hit rates on Mon, Sep 21, 2026?
Going into Mon, Sep 21, 2026, the highest last-10 hit rates included Patrick Mahomes 175+ pass yds (9 of 10; finished with 382), Jonathan Taylor 40+ rush yds (9 of 10; finished with 92) and Tyler Warren 3+ receptions (9 of 10; finished with 6).
Passing yards: highest hit rates on Mon, Sep 21, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick MahomesKC · QB · vs IND | 175+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 382 | Held |
| Daniel JonesIND · QB · at KC | 175+ pass yds | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 210 | Held |
Rushing yards: highest hit rates on Mon, Sep 21, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan TaylorIND · RB · at KC | 40+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 92 | Held |
| Kenneth Walker IIIKC · RB · vs IND | 50+ rush yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 117 | Held |
| Patrick MahomesKC · QB · vs IND | 10+ rush yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 17 | Held |
Receiving yards: highest hit rates on Mon, Sep 21, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashee RiceKC · WR · vs IND | 30+ rec yds | 8 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 83 | Held |
| Jonathan TaylorIND · RB · at KC | 10+ rec yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 40 | Held |
| Keenan AllenIND · WR · at KC | 20+ rec yds | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 5 | Missed |
| Xavier WorthyKC · WR · vs IND | 20+ rec yds | 8 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 25 | Held |
Receptions: highest hit rates on Mon, Sep 21, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler WarrenIND · TE · at KC | 3+ receptions | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 6 | Held |
| Josh DownsIND · WR · at KC | 2+ receptions | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 7 | Held |
| Jonathan TaylorIND · RB · at KC | 2+ receptions | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| Xavier WorthyKC · WR · vs IND | 2+ receptions | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 5 | Held |
| Rashee RiceKC · WR · vs IND | 4+ receptions | 8 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| Kenneth Walker IIIKC · RB · vs IND | 2+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 6 | Held |
| Travis KelceKC · TE · vs IND | 3+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 9 | Held |
| Keenan AllenIND · WR · at KC | 3+ receptions | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 1 | Missed |
Passing TDs: highest hit rates on Mon, Sep 21, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel JonesIND · QB · at KC | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 1 | Held |
Rush + rec yards: highest hit rates on Mon, Sep 21, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker IIIKC · RB · vs IND | 50+ rush + rec yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 178 | Held |
| Jonathan TaylorIND · RB · at KC | 60+ rush + rec yds | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 132 | Held |
Rush attempts: highest hit rates on Mon, Sep 21, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker IIIKC · RB · vs IND | 10+ carries | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 24 | Held |
| Jonathan TaylorIND · RB · at KC | 15+ carries | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 24 | Held |
More NFL research for Mon, Sep 21, 2026
What does the line in each row mean?
It is the highest line the player cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games (their "safe" line). Last 10 and last 5 show how many of those games cleared it. It is a research benchmark, not a sportsbook line.
Are high hit rate props a sure thing?
No. A hit rate describes what already happened. Minutes, matchups, injuries and game script all change, so check the live line at your book and treat this as research. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.