Best Player Props on Mon, Sep 21, 2026: NFL Hit Rates & Results
Published · Updated · 21+
DARIMARKET is a free sports research app that shows player prop hit rates for FanDuel and DraftKings bettors. This page is the Mon, Sep 21, 2026 archive: the best pre-game last-10 hit rates for NFL players that day, and how each line finished.
What were the best NFL player props on Mon, Sep 21, 2026?
Going into Mon, Sep 21, 2026, the highest last-10 hit rates among NFL players belonged to Kenneth Walker III 10+ carries (9 of 10 before, finished with 24), Tyler Warren 3+ receptions (9 of 10 before, finished with 6) and Josh Downs 2+ receptions (9 of 10 before, finished with 7). Cleared: Kenneth Walker III, Tyler Warren, Josh Downs, Jonathan Taylor.
NFL: best pre-game hit rates on Mon, Sep 21, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker IIIKC · RB · vs IND | 10+ carriesRush attempts, avg 16.2 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 24 | Held |
| Tyler WarrenIND · TE · at KC | 3+ receptionsReceptions, avg 4.2 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 6 | Held |
| Josh DownsIND · WR · at KC | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 3.1 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 7 | Held |
| Jonathan TaylorIND · RB · at KC | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 2.4 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| Patrick MahomesKC · QB · vs IND | 175+ pass ydsPassing yards, avg 251.4 | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 382 | Held |
| Xavier WorthyKC · WR · vs IND | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 2.9 | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 5 | Held |
| Daniel JonesIND · QB · at KC | 1+ pass TDsPassing TDs, avg 1.6 | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 1 | Held |
| Rashee RiceKC · WR · vs IND | 4+ receptionsReceptions, avg 6.1 | 8 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| Travis KelceKC · TE · vs IND | 3+ receptionsReceptions, avg 4.2 | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 9 | Held |
| Keenan AllenIND · WR · at KC | 3+ receptionsReceptions, avg 4 | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 1 | Missed |
More NFL research for Mon, Sep 21, 2026
Where do these numbers come from?
Each player's last 10 games before that day, from the same game logs as DARIMARKET's free hit rates, compared with the final box score. They don't change after the fact.
Last 10 counts each player's last 10 games on file before that day. Actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.