Highest Hit Rates on Sun, Oct 4, 2026: NFL Player Props & Results
Published · Updated · 21+
DARIMARKET is a free sports research app that shows player prop hit rates for FanDuel and DraftKings bettors. This is the Sun, Oct 4, 2026 archive: the highest pre-game hit rates by stat and how each line finished.
Which NFL player props had the highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 4, 2026?
Going into Sun, Oct 4, 2026, the highest last-10 hit rates included Derrick Henry 60+ rush yds (10 of 10; finished with 73), Ashton Jeanty 30+ rush yds (10 of 10; finished with 58) and Drake Maye 10+ rush yds (10 of 10; finished with 54).
Passing yards: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 4, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew StaffordLAR · QB · at PHI | 250+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 317 | Held |
| Patrick MahomesKC · QB · at LV | 175+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 225 | Held |
| Jacoby BrissettARI · QB · at NYG | 200+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 166 | Missed |
| Drake MayeNE · QB · at BUF | 175+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 269 | Held |
| Kirk CousinsLV · QB · vs KC | 150+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 365 | Held |
| Lamar JacksonBAL · QB · vs TEN | 150+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 222 | Held |
| Jalen HurtsPHI · QB · vs LAR | 150+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 93 | Missed |
| Josh AllenBUF · QB · vs NE | 175+ pass yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 253 | Held |
Rushing yards: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 4, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick HenryBAL · RB · vs TEN | 60+ rush yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 73 | Held |
| Ashton JeantyLV · RB · vs KC | 30+ rush yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 58 | Held |
| Drake MayeNE · QB · at BUF | 10+ rush yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 54 | Held |
| Chase BrownCIN · RB · vs JAX | 50+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 10 | Missed |
| Bucky IrvingTB · RB · vs GB | 40+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 61 | Held |
| Bo NixDEN · QB · at SF | 5+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 10 | Held |
| Kenneth Walker IIIKC · RB · at LV | 60+ rush yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 177 | Held |
| Aaron Jones Sr.MIN · RB · vs MIA | 40+ rush yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 94 | Held |
Receiving yards: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 4, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davante AdamsLAR · WR · at PHI | 20+ rec yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 32 | Held |
| Tee HigginsCIN · WR · vs JAX | 50+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 157 | Held |
| Mike EvansSF · WR · vs DEN | 30+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 76 | Held |
| Tre TuckerLV · WR · vs KC | 20+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 44 | Held |
| Cooper KuppSEA · WR · vs LAC | 20+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 13 | Missed |
| Christian McCaffreySF · RB · vs DEN | 20+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 18 | Missed |
| Darnell MooneyNYG · WR · vs ARI | 20+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
| CeeDee LambDAL · WR · at HOU | 40+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 189 | Held |
Receptions: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 4, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka NacuaLAR · WR · at PHI | 5+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 9 | Held |
| Tee HigginsCIN · WR · vs JAX | 3+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 11 | Held |
| Nico CollinsHOU · WR · vs DAL | 3+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 7 | Held |
| Luther Burden IIICHI · WR · vs NYJ | 3+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| Tucker KraftGB · TE · at TB | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 6 | Held |
| Mack HollinsNE · WR · at BUF | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Josh DownsIND · WR · vs WSH | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Cade OttonTB · TE · vs GB | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 4 | Held |
Passing TDs: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 4, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby BrissettARI · QB · at NYG | 1+ pass TDs | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 2 | Held |
| Joe BurrowCIN · QB · vs JAX | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 1 | Held |
| Kirk CousinsLV · QB · vs KC | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 2 | Held |
| Daniel JonesIND · QB · vs WSH | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
| C.J. StroudHOU · QB · vs DAL | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 2 | Held |
| Trevor LawrenceJAX · QB · at CIN | 2+ pass TDs | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 1 | Missed |
| Brock PurdySF · QB · vs DEN | 1+ pass TDs | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 2 | Held |
| Jordan LoveGB · QB · at TB | 1+ pass TDs | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 2 | Held |
Rush + rec yards: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 4, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick HenryBAL · RB · vs TEN | 75+ rush + rec yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 79 | Held |
| Christian McCaffreySF · RB · vs DEN | 60+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 70 | Held |
| Jonathan TaylorIND · RB · vs WSH | 60+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 97 | Held |
| Cam SkatteboNYG · RB · vs ARI | 50+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 66 | Held |
| Javonte WilliamsDAL · RB · at HOU | 50+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 83 | Held |
| RJ HarveyDEN · RB · at SF | 40+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 93 | Held |
| Kenneth Walker IIIKC · RB · at LV | 60+ rush + rec yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 179 | Held |
| Ashton JeantyLV · RB · vs KC | 60+ rush + rec yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 126 | Held |
Rush attempts: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 4, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase BrownCIN · RB · vs JAX | 12+ carries | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 9 | Missed |
| Christian McCaffreySF · RB · vs DEN | 10+ carries | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 15 | Held |
| Kyle MonangaiCHI · RB · vs NYJ | 8+ carries | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 30 | Held |
| Jonathan TaylorIND · RB · vs WSH | 15+ carries | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 20 | Held |
| Javonte WilliamsDAL · RB · at HOU | 12+ carries | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 19 | Held |
| Tony PollardTEN · RB · at BAL | 10+ carries | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 16 | Held |
| Cam SkatteboNYG · RB · vs ARI | 10+ carries | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 18 | Held |
| Omarion HamptonLAC · RB · at SEA | 12+ carries | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 9 | Missed |
More NFL research for Sun, Oct 4, 2026
What does the line in each row mean?
It is the highest line the player cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games (their "safe" line). Last 10 and last 5 show how many of those games cleared it. It is a research benchmark, not a sportsbook line.
Are high hit rate props a sure thing?
No. A hit rate describes what already happened. Minutes, matchups, injuries and game script all change, so check the live line at your book and treat this as research. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.