Best Player Props on Sun, Oct 4, 2026: NFL Hit Rates & Results
Published · Updated · 21+
DARIMARKET is a free sports research app that shows player prop hit rates for FanDuel and DraftKings bettors. This page is the Sun, Oct 4, 2026 archive: the best pre-game last-10 hit rates for NFL players that day, and how each line finished.
What were the best NFL player props on Sun, Oct 4, 2026?
Going into Sun, Oct 4, 2026, the highest last-10 hit rates among NFL players belonged to Derrick Henry 75+ rush + rec yds (10 of 10 before, finished with 79), Davante Adams 20+ rec yds (10 of 10 before, finished with 32) and Ashton Jeanty 30+ rush yds (10 of 10 before, finished with 58). Cleared: Derrick Henry, Davante Adams, Ashton Jeanty, Drake Maye.
NFL: best pre-game hit rates on Sun, Oct 4, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick HenryBAL · RB · vs TEN | 75+ rush + rec ydsRush + rec yards, avg 120.3 | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 79 | Held |
| Davante AdamsLAR · WR · at PHI | 20+ rec ydsReceiving yards, avg 76.3 | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 32 | Held |
| Ashton JeantyLV · RB · vs KC | 30+ rush ydsRushing yards, avg 62.7 | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 58 | Held |
| Drake MayeNE · QB · at BUF | 10+ rush ydsRushing yards, avg 34.8 | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 54 | Held |
| Chase BrownCIN · RB · vs JAX | 12+ carriesRush attempts, avg 15.5 | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 9 | Missed |
| Puka NacuaLAR · WR · at PHI | 5+ receptionsReceptions, avg 7.8 | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 9 | Held |
| Tee HigginsCIN · WR · vs JAX | 3+ receptionsReceptions, avg 4.8 | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 11 | Held |
| Nico CollinsHOU · WR · vs DAL | 3+ receptionsReceptions, avg 4.8 | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 7 | Held |
| Luther Burden IIICHI · WR · vs NYJ | 3+ receptionsReceptions, avg 4.6 | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| Tucker KraftGB · TE · at TB | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 3.9 | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 6 | Held |
| Mack HollinsNE · WR · at BUF | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 3.8 | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Josh DownsIND · WR · vs WSH | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 3.6 | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Cade OttonTB · TE · vs GB | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 3.5 | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| Chig OkonkwoWSH · TE · vs IND | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 3.1 | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 2 | Held |
| Greg DulcichMIA · TE · at MIN | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 2.9 | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
| Jacoby BrissettARI · QB · at NYG | 1+ pass TDsPassing TDs, avg 1.7 | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 2 | Held |
| Mike EvansSF · WR · vs DEN | 30+ rec ydsReceiving yards, avg 45.4 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 76 | Held |
| Kyle MonangaiCHI · RB · vs NYJ | 8+ carriesRush attempts, avg 9.9 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 30 | Held |
| Brock BowersLV · TE · vs KC | 4+ receptionsReceptions, avg 6 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 6 | Held |
| Parker WashingtonJAX · WR · at CIN | 3+ receptionsReceptions, avg 5 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 1 | Missed |
| Zay FlowersBAL · WR · vs TEN | 3+ receptionsReceptions, avg 4.6 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 8 | Held |
| Stefon DiggsWSH · WR · vs IND | 3+ receptionsReceptions, avg 4.5 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 5 | Held |
| Christian McCaffreySF · RB · vs DEN | 4+ receptionsReceptions, avg 4.5 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Missed |
| Tyler WarrenIND · TE · vs WSH | 3+ receptionsReceptions, avg 4.4 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 5 | Held |
| Christian WatsonGB · WR · at TB | 3+ receptionsReceptions, avg 4.3 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Dalton KincaidBUF · TE · vs NE | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 3.5 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 1 | Missed |
| Cooper KuppSEA · WR · vs LAC | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 3.4 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 1 | Missed |
| Tre TuckerLV · WR · vs KC | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 3 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| Brenton StrangeJAX · TE · at CIN | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 3 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 7 | Held |
| Kenneth Walker IIIKC · RB · at LV | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 3 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 1 | Missed |
| Kyren WilliamsLAR · RB · at PHI | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 2.9 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 10 | Held |
| Jonathan TaylorIND · RB · vs WSH | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 2.5 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 1 | Missed |
| Rome OdunzeCHI · WR · vs NYJ | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 2.5 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 6 | Held |
| Joe BurrowCIN · QB · vs JAX | 1+ pass TDsPassing TDs, avg 2.2 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 1 | Held |
| Darnell MooneyNYG · WR · vs ARI | 2+ receptionsReceptions, avg 2.2 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
| Samaje PerineCIN · RB · vs JAX | 1+ receptionsReceptions, avg 1.5 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
| Matthew StaffordLAR · QB · at PHI | 250+ pass ydsPassing yards, avg 316.1 | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 317 | Held |
| Patrick MahomesKC · QB · at LV | 175+ pass ydsPassing yards, avg 259.9 | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 225 | Held |
| Kirk CousinsLV · QB · vs KC | 150+ pass ydsPassing yards, avg 213.2 | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 365 | Held |
| Lamar JacksonBAL · QB · vs TEN | 150+ pass ydsPassing yards, avg 204.5 | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 222 | Held |
More NFL research for Sun, Oct 4, 2026
Where do these numbers come from?
Each player's last 10 games before that day, from the same game logs as DARIMARKET's free hit rates, compared with the final box score. They don't change after the fact.
Last 10 counts each player's last 10 games on file before that day. Actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.