Highest Hit Rates on Sun, Oct 11, 2026: NFL Player Props & Results
Published · Updated · 21+
DARIMARKET is a free sports research app that shows player prop hit rates for FanDuel and DraftKings bettors. This is the Sun, Oct 11, 2026 archive: the highest pre-game hit rates by stat and how each line finished.
Which NFL player props had the highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 11, 2026?
Going into Sun, Oct 11, 2026, the highest last-10 hit rates included Ashton Jeanty 30+ rush yds (10 of 10; finished with 27), Jayden Daniels 10+ rush yds (9 of 9; finished with 103) and Drake Maye 10+ rush yds (10 of 10; finished with 25).
Passing yards: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 11, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk CousinsLV · QB · at NE | 150+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 243 | Held |
| Drake MayeNE · QB · vs LV | 175+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 374 | Held |
| Justin HerbertLAC · QB · vs DEN | 150+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 121 | Missed |
| Joe BurrowCIN · QB · at MIA | 225+ pass yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 190 | Missed |
| Kyler MurrayMIN · QB · at NO | 150+ pass yds | 7 of 8 | 4 of 5 | 229 | Held |
| Tyler ShoughNO · QB · vs MIN | 250+ pass yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 96 | Missed |
| Jared GoffDET · QB · at ARI | 250+ pass yds | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 271 | Held |
| C.J. StroudHOU · QB · at TEN | 175+ pass yds | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 261 | Held |
Rushing yards: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 11, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton JeantyLV · RB · at NE | 30+ rush yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 27 | Missed |
| Jayden DanielsWSH · QB · vs NYG | 10+ rush yds | 9 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 103 | Held |
| Drake MayeNE · QB · vs LV | 10+ rush yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 25 | Held |
| Tyler ShoughNO · QB · vs MIN | 5+ rush yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
| Brock PurdySF · QB · at SEA | 20+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 6 | Missed |
| Tony PollardTEN · RB · vs HOU | 40+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 52 | Held |
| Bo NixDEN · QB · at LAC | 5+ rush yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 10 | Held |
| Malik WillisMIA · QB · vs CIN | 5+ rush yds | 7 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 74 | Held |
Receiving yards: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 11, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan JohnsonNO · TE · vs MIN | 30+ rec yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 16 | Missed |
| Deebo Samuel Sr.SF · WR · at SEA | 20+ rec yds | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 21 | Held |
| Tee HigginsCIN · WR · at MIA | 50+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 22 | Missed |
| Rome OdunzeCHI · WR · at GB | 40+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 40 | Held |
| Mike EvansSF · WR · at SEA | 30+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 113 | Held |
| Jahmyr GibbsDET · RB · at ARI | 20+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 56 | Held |
| Tre TuckerLV · WR · at NE | 20+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 41 | Held |
| Nico CollinsHOU · WR · at TEN | 50+ rec yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 56 | Held |
Receptions: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 11, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tee HigginsCIN · WR · at MIA | 3+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 2 | Missed |
| Sam LaPortaDET · TE · at ARI | 3+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 5 | Held |
| Nico CollinsHOU · WR · at TEN | 3+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 5 | Held |
| Luther Burden IIICHI · WR · at GB | 3+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| Justin JeffersonMIN · WR · at NO | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 6 | Held |
| Tucker KraftGB · TE · vs CHI | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 5 | Held |
| Josh DownsIND · WR · at PIT | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Chig OkonkwoWSH · TE · vs NYG | 2+ receptions | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 4 | Held |
Passing TDs: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 11, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared GoffDET · QB · at ARI | 1+ pass TDs | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Jacoby BrissettARI · QB · vs DET | 1+ pass TDs | 10 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 3 | Held |
| Joe BurrowCIN · QB · at MIA | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| Kirk CousinsLV · QB · at NE | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 1 | Held |
| Tyler ShoughNO · QB · vs MIN | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
| C.J. StroudHOU · QB · at TEN | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 1 | Held |
| Geno SmithNYJ · QB · vs CLE | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 1 | Held |
| Justin HerbertLAC · QB · vs DEN | 1+ pass TDs | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 1 | Held |
Rush + rec yards: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 11, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr GibbsDET · RB · at ARI | 60+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 207 | Held |
| Christian McCaffreySF · RB · at SEA | 60+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 83 | Held |
| D'Andre SwiftCHI · RB · at GB | 60+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 73 | Held |
| RJ HarveyDEN · RB · at LAC | 40+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 7 | Missed |
| Quinshon JudkinsCLE · RB · at NYJ | 40+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 50 | Held |
| Jonathan TaylorIND · RB · at PIT | 60+ rush + rec yds | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 82 | Held |
| Ashton JeantyLV · RB · at NE | 60+ rush + rec yds | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 77 | Held |
| Jaylen WarrenPIT · RB · vs IND | 60+ rush + rec yds | 8 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 188 | Held |
Rush attempts: highest hit rates on Sun, Oct 11, 2026
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Last 10 | Last 5 | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr GibbsDET · RB · at ARI | 12+ carries | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 25 | Held |
| Christian McCaffreySF · RB · at SEA | 10+ carries | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 11 | Held |
| Jaylen WarrenPIT · RB · vs IND | 10+ carries | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 15 | Held |
| Quinshon JudkinsCLE · RB · at NYJ | 12+ carries | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 14 | Held |
| Chase BrownCIN · RB · at MIA | 12+ carries | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 13 | Held |
| J.K. DobbinsDEN · RB · at LAC | 10+ carries | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 18 | Held |
| Ashton JeantyLV · RB · at NE | 15+ carries | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 10 | Missed |
| Aaron Jones Sr.MIN · RB · at NO | 12+ carries | 8 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 25 | Held |
More NFL research for Sun, Oct 11, 2026
What does the line in each row mean?
It is the highest line the player cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games (their "safe" line). Last 10 and last 5 show how many of those games cleared it. It is a research benchmark, not a sportsbook line.
Are high hit rate props a sure thing?
No. A hit rate describes what already happened. Minutes, matchups, injuries and game script all change, so check the live line at your book and treat this as research. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.