Arizona St vs. BYU Recap: Five Cash as Cougars Close It Out
BYU beat Arizona State 27-20 in a game that swung on turnovers and one long fourth-quarter drive. BYU scored first when Sione Moa fell on a fumble in the end zone, capping a short drive after an Arizona State fumble, and the Cougars led 17-3 at halftime. Arizona State answered with two Jake Fette touchdown passes in the third quarter to tie it 17-17. BYU then took the lead back with a 45-yard Matthias Dunn field goal and put it away with an 11-play, 95-yard drive capped by Moa's 1-yard run with 2:09 left. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
Legend Glasker 50+ receiving yards (-172 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Glasker had 50 or more receiving yards in 6 of 7 games and 4 of his last 5, as Bear Bachmeier's top target. FanDuel's -172 was the better number. - What happened: Glasker caught 4 passes for 87 yards with a long of 53, clearing 50 by 37.5. The one long catch nearly covered the line by itself. - Worth watching: When a receiver is the clear top option and can hit on one big play, a yardage line around 50 stays in play. We will keep watching his number.
ALT: Bear Bachmeier 175+ passing yards (-385 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Bachmeier had 175 or more in 8 of his last 10 games, averaging 224 and 270 over his last 3, with attempts climbing. His main line was 229.5, so the alt at 175 gave real room. - What happened: Bachmeier completed 19 of 30 passes for 236 yards with a touchdown and an interception, clearing 175 by 61.5. He even beat the main line. BYU ran for only 47 yards on 30 carries, so the offense leaned on his arm. - Worth watching: With BYU's run game this quiet, Bachmeier's passing yardage carries the offense. That keeps his alt passing lines useful as parlay legs, though the price is too steep alone.
ALT: Omarion Miller 37+ receiving yards (-115 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Miller had cleared 37 receiving yards in 6 of his last 10 games and 13 of his last 18. At -115, about 53% implied, versus about 64% from his recent games. - What happened: This one went right to the wire. Miller caught 4 passes for exactly 37 yards, half a yard over. The biggest was a 20-yard touchdown from Fette in the third quarter that cut BYU's lead to 17-10. - Worth watching: Arizona State threw 42 times for only 166 yards, so Miller got there on a tough passing day. In a cleaner game script his line has more room.
ALT: Arizona State over 16.5 team points (+100 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Arizona State had scored 17 or more in 9 of its last 10 games, including all 7 this season, and in 7 of its last 8 road games. BYU had allowed 17 or more in 6 of its last 10. - What happened: Arizona State reached 17 on Fette's 1-yard touchdown pass to Anthony Miller late in the third quarter, then added a 44-yard Carson Smith field goal with 57 seconds left to finish at 20, 3.5 over the line. - Worth watching: Priced around even money, this team total held up on a day Arizona State managed 279 total yards. Its scoring floor has been steady all year.
ALT: Over 38.5 total points (-400 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: These teams' recent games had gone over 38.5 in 17 of 20 combined and 12 of 14 this season. - What happened: The teams combined for 47 points, 8.5 over. Two short fields after fumbles turned into touchdowns, and two Dunn field goals helped push it past the number in a game with modest yardage on both sides. - Worth watching: Turnovers padded the total here. A low alt total gives cushion when field position swings like this.
How the game played out
The two offenses finished almost even in yards, 279 for Arizona State and 283 for BYU. Cardae Mack ran for 123 yards on 23 carries for the Sun Devils, but Arizona State converted just 6-17 on third down.
Trends to watch
- Glasker's 53-yard catch shows his big-play range as BYU's top target.
- Cardae Mack's 23 carries make him a volume option for Arizona State rushing props.
- BYU's run game managed 47 yards. Watch Bachmeier's passing numbers when BYU can't run.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn more about alt lines and parlays, or visit the CFB hub.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.