Northwestern vs. Oregon Recap: Chiles and Komolafe Both Cash
Oregon beat Northwestern 34-26, but it took a late Ducks rally to get there. Northwestern led 20-6 in the second quarter and 23-13 in the third behind Aidan Chiles and the leg of Jackson Kleather. Oregon then scored touchdowns on three of its next four possessions, and Dylan Raiola's 75-yard touchdown pass to Dakorien Moore with 10:20 left put the Ducks up for good. Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, and all three were on Northwestern players.
What cashed
ALT: Aidan Chiles 210+ passing yards (-107 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Chiles had cleared 210 passing yards in 7 of his last 10 games and 10 of his last 15. At -107, the book implied about 52%, below his recent rate of about 66%. - What happened: Chiles threw for 281 yards on 22/38 passing with a touchdown and no interceptions, clearing the line by 71.5. The big one came early: a 64-yard touchdown pass to Griffin Wilde in the first quarter. Wilde finished with 146 receiving yards on 5 catches. - Worth watching: Chiles keeps putting up yardage whether Northwestern is leading or chasing. When his passing line sits near his recent floor, we will keep looking.
Aidan Chiles anytime TD (+150 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Chiles had scored in 9 of his last 10 games, including all 7 this season, and we rated Oregon as a good anytime TD matchup. - What happened: Chiles ran it in from 5 yards out with 1:53 left in the second quarter, putting Northwestern up 20-6. He was the team's leading rusher with 93 yards on 14 carries and a long of 24. - Worth watching: A quarterback who carries it 14 times is a real goal-line option. At plus money, a QB anytime touchdown with this kind of run rate is one of the better prices on the board.
ALT: Caleb Komolafe 40+ rushing yards (-345 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Komolafe had 40 or more rushing yards in 8 of his last 10 games, and his main line was 61.5. The alt at 40 gave a lot of cushion. - What happened: Komolafe carried 16 times for 67 yards with a long of 12, clearing 40 by 27.5. He also caught 4 passes for 30 yards. - Worth watching: He did it without a long run, which says the workload is steady. That makes his low alt rushing line a reliable piece for parlays, though the price is steep alone.
How the game played out
Northwestern outgained Oregon 456 to 441 and held the ball for 35:54, but kept settling for field goals. Kleather made four, from 37, 37, 49 and 49 yards, and one of those came right after an Oregon fumble to open the second half. Raiola was efficient on the other side, completing 22 of 31 passes for 336 yards and 3 touchdowns, with Moore catching 7 passes for 128 yards and two scores.
Trends to watch
- Chiles accounted for 374 yards of offense (281 passing, 93 rushing). His rushing yardage props are worth a look alongside his passing lines.
- Kleather made two kicks from 49 yards. Northwestern drives that stall in plus territory keep kicker points props in play.
- Moore had two touchdowns, including the 75-yarder. Oregon's passing game showed big-play range late.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn more about anytime touchdown bets and player props, or visit the CFB hub.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.