Arizona St vs. Texas Tech Recap: Tech Rolls 53-25, Four Plays Cash

Texas Tech beat Arizona State 53-25, and the game was over early. Ben Roberts returned an interception 24 yards for a touchdown in the first quarter, J'Koby Williams broke touchdown runs of 62 and 38 yards, and Tech led 43-10 at halftime. The Red Raiders ran for 260 yards on 37 carries while holding Arizona State to 35 on 28. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Texas Tech ML (-700 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Tech came in 5-0 allowing 16.2 a game, and Arizona State had lost by 28 at Texas A&M and by 36 to Baylor. ESPN FPI had Tech at 93.9% against the 87.5% the price implied. - What happened: Tech led 21-0 before Arizona State scored and never let the lead drop under 14 after that. Final margin: 28. - Worth watching: At this price the moneyline is about the gap between the win probability and the number, not the payout. When a model sits above the implied odds, it is still worth a look.

ALT: Texas Tech over 25.5 team total points (-330 DraftKings / -360 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Tech had 26+ in 11 straight games, 8 of 8 at home, averaging 37.7 over its last 10, with DraftKings implying 32.5. RB Cam Dickey was out, so we trimmed confidence to 85. - What happened: Tech was past 25.5 by the second quarter and finished with 53, clearing the line by 27.5. - Worth watching: Without Dickey, Williams carried 11 times for 165 yards and two scores. The run game did not need its starter here.

ALT: Texas Tech -13.5 (-162 at DraftKings and FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Tech had covered -13.5 in 8 of its last 10, sat at -700 on the moneyline and had cleared its team total in 10 of 10. - What happened: A 28-point win covered the alt by 14.5. Arizona State scored the last eight points of the night, too late to matter. - Worth watching: Tech's 502 total yards and a plus-one turnover margin tell you the cover was earned, not handed over.

Cutter Boley 1+ passing touchdowns (-227 DraftKings / -240 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Boley had a TD pass in 9 of his last 10 and 5/5 this season, 1.8 per game. - What happened: He found Raiden Vines-Bright for a 74-yard touchdown late in the first quarter. Boley finished 5-of-10 passing with 124 yards and 2 interceptions, and Mikey Keene threw 34 of the team's passes. - Worth watching: The prop cashed on one strike, but the playing time is the story. If Keene keeps getting this much work, Boley passing props get a lot riskier.

How the game played out

Will Hammond went 18-of-26 passing for 232 yards, threw an 11-yard touchdown to Coy Eakin and ran one in from 9 yards. Stone Harrington added four field goals. Arizona State actually out-passed Tech 380 to 242, but 1.3 yards per carry kept its offense one-dimensional.

Trends to watch

• Texas Tech averaged 7.0 yards per rush. Williams' 15.0 per carry is the number to track for his rushing props.
• Kenny Johnson caught 7 passes for 120 yards and was Hammond's leading receiver.
• Arizona State's quarterback split (Keene 25-of-34, Boley 5-of-10) is worth checking before betting any ASU passing prop.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn more about the moneyline and alt lines, or see today's college football board.