Auburn vs. Ole Miss Recap: Chambliss Clears 225 in 45-15 Win

Ole Miss beat Auburn 45-15, but this was a two-point game midway through the third quarter. Byrum Brown's 7-yard touchdown run at 6:20 of the third cut it to 17-15 after a failed two-point try, and then Ole Miss scored the last 28 points of the game. Trinidad Chambliss started that run with a 26-yard touchdown scramble and followed it with two fourth-quarter touchdown passes. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Ole Miss ML (-470 DraftKings / -450 FanDuel): CASHED

• Our read: Ole Miss had won 8 of its last 10 and its last 8 home games, while Auburn had lost 5 of its last 10. The price was steep, so this was a straight-up result play, not a value swing.
• What happened: Ole Miss led 14-9 at the half and never trailed. The Rebels converted 13 of 16 third downs, ran for 224 yards on 49 carries and finished with 487 total yards. Auburn lost two fumbles and managed 63 rushing yards.
• Worth watching: At -470 the moneyline only makes sense as a leg in something bigger. The third-down number is the part to remember: Ole Miss kept drives alive all afternoon.

ALT: Trinidad Chambliss 225+ passing yards (-360 FanDuel): CASHED

• Our read: Chambliss had 225 or more passing in 9 of his last 10, including 250 on 52 attempts at Texas the week before. His main line was 280.5, so the alt gave us more than 50 yards of room with Ole Miss favored.
• What happened: He finished 22 of 34 passing for 263 yards with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 38.5 yards clear of the 224.5 mark. His fourth-quarter scores went 6 yards to Caleb Cunningham and 28 yards to Horatio Fields, who led Ole Miss with 6 catches for 73 yards. Chambliss also ran 7 times for 65 yards and a score.
• Worth watching: He got there on 34 attempts, well below the 52 he threw at Texas, which says the floor holds even when Ole Miss runs the ball 49 times. The alt price is heavy, so it fits best as a leg rather than a standalone bet.

How the game played out

Auburn stayed close through Brown, who completed 25 of 38 passes for 195 yards and a touchdown to Chas Nimrod, but two failed conversions after scores (a blocked extra point and a failed two-point try) kept Auburn stuck at 15. The Ole Miss front got home too: Tah'j Butler and Suntarine Perkins had 2 sacks each. Once the Rebels went up 24-15, Auburn did not score again.

Trends to watch

• Chambliss did damage with his legs as well as his arm: 65 rushing yards and a 26-yard touchdown on 7 carries.
• Ole Miss split its carries between Makhi Frazier (17 carries, 56 yards) and Shekai Mills-Knight (16 carries, 71 yards), so neither back is a clean volume play yet.
• Auburn's run game stalled at 63 yards on 27 carries, which put the game on Brown's arm once it fell behind.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. Brush up on the moneyline and player props, or see the full board at /cfb.