California vs UNLV Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 3)
Published · Updated · College Football
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: California Golden Bears 31, UNLV Rebels 39 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in California vs UNLV?
Final on Oct 3, 2026: California 31, UNLV 39. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Chase Hendricks (30+ rec yds: 35), Chase Hendricks (4+ receptions: 8), Ian Strong (30+ rec yds: 49), Ian Strong (3+ receptions: 6), Jackson Arnold (5+ rush yds: 110), Jai'Den Thomas (40+ rush yds: 46). Fell short: Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (200+ pass yds: 195).
Game script
UNLV beat California 39-31, an 8-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
California Golden Bears player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron-Keawe SagapoluteleQB | 200+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 274.3 | 8 of 10 | 195 | Missed |
| Chase HendricksWR | 30+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 68.4 | 9 of 10 | 35 | Held |
| Chase Hendricks | 4+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 5.8 | 8 of 10 | 8 | Held |
| Ian StrongWR | 30+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 59.9 | 8 of 10 | 49 | Held |
| Ian Strong | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4 | 8 of 10 | 6 | Held |
UNLV Rebels player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson ArnoldQB | 5+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 29 | 8 of 10 | 110 | Held |
| Jai'Den ThomasRB | 40+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 75.8 | 8 of 10 | 46 | Held |
| Jai'Den Thomas | 1+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.1 | 9 of 10 | 2 | Held |
Player by player
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele finished with 195 passing yards, 5 short of 200+ pass yds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele's last 10 showed 200+ pass yds in 8 of 10.
Chase Hendricks finished with 35 receiving yards, clearing 30+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Chase Hendricks finished with 8 receptions, clearing 4+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Chase Hendricks's last 10 showed 30+ rec yds in 9 of 10, 4+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Ian Strong finished with 49 receiving yards, clearing 30+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Ian Strong finished with 6 receptions, clearing 3+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Ian Strong's last 10 showed 30+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 3+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Jackson Arnold finished with 110 rushing yards, clearing 5+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jackson Arnold's last 10 showed 5+ rush yds in 8 of 10.
Jai'Den Thomas finished with 46 rushing yards, clearing 40+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Jai'Den Thomas finished with 2 receptions, clearing 1+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jai'Den Thomas's last 10 showed 40+ rush yds in 8 of 10, 1+ receptions in 9 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of California vs UNLV on Oct 3, 2026?
California Golden Bears 31, UNLV Rebels 39 (Final). UNLV beat California 39-31, an 8-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More College Football player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.