Duke vs NC State Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Nov 7)
Published · Updated · College Football

This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Duke Blue Devils 41, NC State Wolfpack 3 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Duke vs NC State?
Final on Nov 7, 2026: Duke 41, NC State 3. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Nate Sheppard (70+ rush yds: 217), Nate Sheppard (1+ receptions: 1). Fell short: CJ Bailey (175+ pass yds: 123), Keenan Jackson (2+ receptions: 1).
Game script
Duke beat NC State 41-3, a 38-point margin. A blowout game script: the trailing team usually throws more late, while the leader runs the ball and rests starters.
Duke Blue Devils player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate SheppardRB | 70+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 114.4 | 9 of 10 | 217 | Held |
| Nate Sheppard | 1+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.1 | 10 of 10 | 1 | Held |
NC State Wolfpack player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ BaileyQB | 175+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 230.8 | 8 of 10 | 123 | Missed |
| Keenan JacksonWR | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.6 | 9 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
Player by player
Nate Sheppard finished with 217 rushing yards, clearing 70+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Nate Sheppard finished with 1 receptions, clearing 1+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Nate Sheppard's last 10 showed 70+ rush yds in 9 of 10, 1+ receptions in 10 of 10.
CJ Bailey finished with 123 passing yards, 52 short of 175+ pass yds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, CJ Bailey's last 10 showed 175+ pass yds in 8 of 10.
Keenan Jackson finished with 1 receptions, 1 short of 2+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Keenan Jackson's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 9 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Duke vs NC State on Nov 7, 2026?
Duke Blue Devils 41, NC State Wolfpack 3 (Final). Duke beat NC State 41-3, a 38-point margin. A blowout game script: the trailing team usually throws more late, while the leader runs the ball and rests starters.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More College Football player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.